Kent State Golden Flashes at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Final · ESPN+
75–85Last shot · Jaymen Townsend makes 14-foot jumper
At lock: projected KENT 74.80–70.54 LT
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1598707175
- Winner: Kent State (65%)
- Spread: LT +5.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 145.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)14
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
KENT 74.80–70.54 LT · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseLT +0.0 off · KENT +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to LT
- Market priorBlended 86% toward KENT -5.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 32 | 43 | 75 |
| LT | 41 | 44 | 85 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:2166–77
Brenden Moss makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:2167–77
Brenden Moss makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2767–78
Jaylen Fenner makes free throw 1 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 2:1469–78
Jamal Sumlin makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4869–80
Braylon Wenger makes layup (Jay Tyler assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:4869–81
Braylon Wenger makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 1:4670–81
Dhani Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1570–83
Braylon Wenger makes 5-foot jumper (Jay Tyler assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:5170–84
Braylon Wenger makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5170–85
Braylon Wenger makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4373–85
Brenden Moss makes 25-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0475–85
Jaymen Townsend makes 14-foot jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| KENT | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Williams F · #34 | 15 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 L. Diouf F · #23 | 30 | 13 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
 Q. Woidke G · #6 | 16 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Willis Jr. G · #0 | 20 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 D. Miller G · #2 | 36 | 15 | 4-19 | 1-8 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
 J. Townsend F · #22 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Vanderwarker F · #7 | 16 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Calloway G · #8 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Henry G · #30 | 23 | 17 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
 B. Moss G · #5 | 15 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Sumlin G · #1 | 27 | 10 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
 E. Arick F · #42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
D D. Briscoe F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Nwabude F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Lakatos G · #31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 75 | 27-74 | 7-28 | 14-22 | 45 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| KENT | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-74 | 28-54 |
| FG% | 36 | 52 |
| 3PT | 7-28 | 8-22 |
| 3P% | 25 | 36 |
| FT | 14-22 | 21-30 |
| FT% | 64 | 70 |
| REB | 45 | 40 |
| OR | 23 | 10 |
| DR | 22 | 30 |
| AST | 9 | 19 |
| STL | 6 | 4 |
| BLK | 0 | 1 |
| TO | 7 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 7 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 8 |
| FBPs | 12 | 16 |
| PIP | 34 | 38 |
| PF | 23 | 19 |
| LL | 0 | 19 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock KENT 74.80–70.54 LT · KENT by 4.3 pts vs LT +5.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Williams · KENT
15 MIN · 4 PTSI. Francis Jr. · LT
19 MIN · 9 PTSBraylon Wenger · LT
STAT · 36 MIN · 28 PTS · 8-12 FG · 4-8 3PTChristian Henry · KENT
STAT · 23 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-14 FG · 2-7 3PTDhani Miller · KENT
STAT · 36 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-19 FG · 1-8 3PTLatif Diouf · KENT
STAT · 30 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-10 FG · 1-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Kent State vs Louisiana Tech pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LT +5.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day