Syracuse Orange at Indiana Hoosiers
Final · FS1
80–83Last shot · Kiyan Anthony misses 30-foot three point pullup jump shot
At lock: projected SYR 72.26–77.13 IU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1277521388
- Winner: Indiana (66%)
- Spread: SYR +5.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 148.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SYR 72.26–77.13 IU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIU +13.9 off · SYR +4.2 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IU
- RecordIU 3-0 · SYR 2-1
- Market priorBlended 70% toward IU -5.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 38 | 42 | 80 |
| IU | 34 | 49 | 83 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 1:1474–75
Darren Harris makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT2nd Half 1:1474–76
Darren Harris makes free throw 2 of 3
- FT2nd Half 1:1474–77
Darren Harris makes free throw 3 of 3
- FT2nd Half 0:4274–78
Samet Yigitoglu makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4274–79
Samet Yigitoglu makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3376–79
Ryan Moesch makes 9-foot pullup jump shot
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:2576–81
Jaeden Mustaf makes 1-foot dunk (Darren Harris assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2177–81
Ryan Moesch makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2178–81
Ryan Moesch makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1278–82
Bryce Lindsay makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1278–83
Bryce Lindsay makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0480–83
Sadiq White Jr. makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SYR | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Morano F · #12 | 8 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 S. White Jr. F · #1 | 29 | 13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 L. Wilson C · #23 | 23 | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 G. Doty G · #4 | 28 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
 G. Dual G · #3 | 32 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 A. Monroe F · #8 | 12 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 A. Siby C · #10 | 16 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 R. Moesch G · #0 | 26 | 19 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 K. Anthony G · #7 | 26 | 16 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 F. Folefac F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Goodrick F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Martinez C · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Butler G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
C C. Russell III G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Tobiason G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Lobdell G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 80 | 28-55 | 8-19 | 16-20 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SYR | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 28-55 | 26-62 |
| FG% | 51 | 42 |
| 3PT | 8-19 | 9-25 |
| 3P% | 42 | 36 |
| FT | 16-20 | 22-26 |
| FT% | 80 | 85 |
| REB | 28 | 37 |
| OR | 7 | 14 |
| DR | 21 | 23 |
| AST | 12 | 15 |
| STL | 5 | 7 |
| BLK | 4 | 1 |
| TO | 12 | 11 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 12 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 20 |
| FBPs | 6 | 6 |
| PIP | 32 | 28 |
| PF | 20 | 18 |
| LL | 7 | 5 |
| LC | 13 | 13 |
| LPCT | 46 | 40 |
At lock SYR 72.26–77.13 IU · IU by 4.9 pts vs SYR +5.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitM. Morano · SYR
8 MIN · 5 PTSA. Sherrell · IU
18 MIN · 6 PTSMarkus Burton · IU
STAT · 32 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-12 FG · 3-4 3PTDarren Harris · IU
STAT · 31 MIN · 20 PTS · 4-12 FG · 2-8 3PTRyan Moesch · SYR
STAT · 26 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-13 FG · 3-5 3PTJaeden Mustaf · IU
STAT · 33 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-11 FG · 2-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Syracuse vs Indiana pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SYR +5.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day