Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Florida State Seminoles
Final · ACCNX
60–84Last shot · Brandon Bass Jr. makes 26-foot three point jumper (Martay Barnes assists)
At lock: projected AMCC 64.78–84.12 FSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1449767269
- Winner: Florida St (95%)
- Spread: AMCC +21.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Over 147.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)6
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
AMCC 64.78–84.12 FSU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseFSU +5.8 off · AMCC +1.2 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to FSU
- RecordFSU 3-1 · AMCC 2-2
- Market priorBlended 83% toward FSU -23.5 / total 149.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMCC | 28 | 32 | 60 |
| FSU | 40 | 44 | 84 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:3549–76
Anthony Robinson II makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3549–77
Anthony Robinson II makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4652–77
Isaiah Lewis makes 26-foot three point jumper (Desmond Kent Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:3352–78
Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:3352–79
Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:2353–79
Lamin Foon makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3855–79
Desmond Kent Jr. makes 18-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0958–79
Desmond Kent Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Lewis assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:0558–80
Alex Steen makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0558–81
Alex Steen makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5460–81
Desmond Kent Jr. makes 13-foot step back jumpshot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4460–84
Brandon Bass Jr. makes 26-foot three point jumper (Martay Barnes assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| AMCC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. Basil F · #22 | 17 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 D. Mukuna F · #3 | 25 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 D. Michelini-Jackson G · #10 | 24 | 9 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 I. Lewis G · #9 | 15 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 J. Mizell G · #0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Wallace F · #7 | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 L. Foon C · #23 | 9 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Kent Jr. G · #12 | 19 | 13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
 J. Jones G · #11 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 B. Billingsley G · #5 | 15 | 11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 D. Winston G · #2 | 18 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 B. Wheatfall G · #4 | 14 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 S. Robinson G · #1 | 20 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 CJ Worsham F · #42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Ambrose C · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Horton G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 23-59 | 5-18 | 9-17 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| AMCC | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-59 | 23-62 |
| FG% | 39 | 37 |
| 3PT | 5-18 | 2-21 |
| 3P% | 28 | 10 |
| FT | 9-17 | 36-45 |
| FT% | 53 | 80 |
| REB | 25 | 58 |
| OR | 8 | 25 |
| DR | 17 | 33 |
| AST | 11 | 13 |
| STL | 4 | 9 |
| BLK | 6 | 2 |
| TO | 14 | 14 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 14 | 14 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 15 | 16 |
| FBPs | 6 | 15 |
| PIP | 22 | 38 |
| PF | 32 | 19 |
| LL | 0 | 28 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock AMCC 64.78–84.12 FSU · FSU by 19.3 pts vs AMCC +22.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
MissB. Basil · AMCC
17 MIN · 1 PTSS. Rancik · FSU
28 MIN · 17 PTSKam Taylor · FSU
STAT · 24 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-8 FG · 1-3 3PTDesmond Kent Jr. · AMCC
STAT · 19 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-8 FG · 1-2 3PTBeau Billingsley · AMCC
STAT · 15 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-6 FG · 1-1 3PTAnthony Robinson II · FSU
STAT · 21 MIN · 10 PTS · 1-4 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Texas A&M-CC vs Florida St pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is AMCC +22.5, with a 55% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day