Bryant Bulldogs at Providence Friars
Final · ESPN+
55–78Last shot · Malik Mack makes driving layup
At lock: projected BRY 60.78–85.81 PROV
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3976464661
- Winner: Providence (99%)
- Spread: BRY +28.5 covers (63%)
- Total: Under 147.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)14
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BRY 60.78–85.81 PROV · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defensePROV +6.4 off · BRY +2.3 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to PROV
- RecordPROV 2-1 · BRY 1-3
- Market priorBlended 84% toward PROV -30.5 / total 149.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY | 25 | 30 | 55 |
| PROV | 38 | 40 | 78 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:5845–64
Malik Mack makes 24-foot three point jumper (Devin Vanterpool assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:5848–64
Andre Pasha makes 23-foot three point jumper (Elijah Crispin assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4748–66
Malik Mack makes 10-foot step back jumpshot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0248–69
Malik Mack makes 24-foot three point jumper (Gavin Hightower assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:3651–69
Roi Behar makes 24-foot three point jumper (Elijah Crispin assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1651–72
Malik Mack makes 24-foot three point jumper (Elijah Saunders assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:0552–72
Duane Thompson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0553–72
Duane Thompson makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:5053–74
Elijah Saunders makes 6-foot alley oop dunk (Malik Mack assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0653–76
Clyde Walters makes driving layup (Jacob Bannarbie assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4555–76
Onyx Nnani makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3855–78
Malik Mack makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BRY | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. Behar F · #9 | 23 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 A. Pasha F · #15 | 30 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
 O. Nnani F · #5 | 27 | 13 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 K. Harvey F · #14 | 28 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 T. Tabales G · #1 | 17 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 E. Hayeems F · #8 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Crispin F · #3 | 32 | 11 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Lyons F · #11 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 D. Thompson F · #0 | 29 | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
 G. Payton F · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Nwankwo F · #19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Grissom F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Chatfield Jr. F · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. DeOrsey PG · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Woerner G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Sepe G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 F. Vassalluzzo G · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 55 | 19-47 | 7-26 | 10-14 | 29 | 12 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BRY | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-47 | 30-62 |
| FG% | 40 | 48 |
| 3PT | 7-26 | 8-25 |
| 3P% | 27 | 32 |
| FT | 10-14 | 10-13 |
| FT% | 71 | 77 |
| REB | 29 | 35 |
| OR | 6 | 11 |
| DR | 23 | 24 |
| AST | 12 | 20 |
| STL | 9 | 19 |
| BLK | 0 | 3 |
| TO | 25 | 16 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 25 | 16 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 22 |
| FBPs | 5 | 17 |
| PIP | 24 | 44 |
| PF | 18 | 18 |
| LL | 0 | 23 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 96 |
At lock BRY 60.78–85.81 PROV · PROV by 25.0 pts vs BRY +28.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
HitR. Behar · BRY
23 MIN · 3 PTSL. Marangon · PROV
11 MIN · 0-2 FGDevin Vanterpool · PROV
STAT · 23 MIN · 21 PTS · 8-17 FG · 3-6 3PTMalik Mack · PROV
STAT · 32 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-14 FG · 3-5 3PTDuane Thompson · BRY
STAT · 29 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-5 FG · 1-1 3PTOnyx Nnani · BRY
STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-9 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Bryant vs Providence pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BRY +28.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day