Alabama A&M Bulldogs at DePaul Blue Demons
Final · truTV
47–84Last shot · Jayden Jackson misses 14-foot turnaround jump shot
At lock: projected AAMU 60.30–80.36 DEP
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 3:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 4262125469
- Winner: DePaul (96%)
- Spread: AAMU +24.5 covers (65%)
- Total: Over 139.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)17
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
AAMU 60.30–80.36 DEP · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseDEP +9.0 off · AAMU +14.4 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to DEP
- RecordDEP 3-0 · AAMU 2-1
- Market priorBlended 84% toward DEP -24.5 / total 139.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMU | 27 | 20 | 47 |
| DEP | 37 | 47 | 84 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3340–72
Koree Cotton makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1943–72
Stephaun Walker makes 24-foot three pointer
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0543–75
Kahmare Holmes makes 24-foot three point jumper (Magoon Gwath assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1243–78
Layden Blocker makes 23-foot three point jumper (Magoon Gwath assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3643–80
Noah Smith makes driving layup (Jonas Johnson assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:1544–80
Devin Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5344–81
Kahmare Holmes makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5344–82
Kahmare Holmes makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:2646–82
Devin Brown makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 1:0347–82
Jayden Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3347–83
Nate Kasher makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3347–84
Nate Kasher makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| AAMU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K K. Paul F · #8 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 S. Walker F · #1 | 33 | 11 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
 B. Abdur-Rahman G · #2 | 19 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 S. Pissis G · #00 | 35 | 10 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Graham III G · #34 | 32 | 18 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 D. Brown F · #12 | 13 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
 D. Meriwether F · #21 | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
D D. Cobbs G · #5 | 18 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 J. Jackson G · #7 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Carruth G · #15 | 14 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Edwards G · #11 | 15 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 S. Onu F · #55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Kincy G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Johnson G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Famakinde G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M M. Banks NA · #20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 47 | 14-53 | 5-24 | 14-21 | 28 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| AAMU | DEP | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 14-53 | 25-57 |
| FG% | 26 | 44 |
| 3PT | 5-24 | 13-31 |
| 3P% | 21 | 42 |
| FT | 14-21 | 21-25 |
| FT% | 67 | 84 |
| REB | 28 | 44 |
| OR | 10 | 13 |
| DR | 18 | 31 |
| AST | 8 | 21 |
| STL | 10 | 11 |
| BLK | 5 | 5 |
| TO | 17 | 13 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 17 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 19 |
| FBPs | 7 | 16 |
| PIP | 14 | 24 |
| PF | 22 | 16 |
| LL | 0 | 38 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 92 |
At lock AAMU 60.30–80.36 DEP · DEP by 20.1 pts vs AAMU +24.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
MissK. Paul · AAMU
8 MIN · 0-1 FGM. Gwath · DEP
15 MIN · 7 PTSLayden Blocker · DEP
STAT · 34 MIN · 20 PTS · 4-7 FG · 4-5 3PTJames Graham III · AAMU
STAT · 32 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-12 FG · 2-6 3PTKahmare Holmes · DEP
STAT · 25 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-9 FG · 2-4 3PTAde Popoola · DEP
STAT · 33 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-10 FG · 4-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Alabama A&M vs DePaul pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is AAMU +24.5, with a 58% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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