Kansas City Roos at Creighton Bluejays
Final · ESPN+
61–76Last shot · BJ Davis makes 28-foot three pointer
At lock: projected KC 64.48–87.74 CREI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2472693709
- Winner: Creighton (98%)
- Spread: KC +26.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)15
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
KC 64.48–87.74 CREI · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseCREI +0.0 off · KC +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to CREI
- Market priorBlended 86% toward CREI -27.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 39 | 22 | 61 |
| CREI | 33 | 43 | 76 |
Scoring plays
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 4:5350–66
Trevon Carter-Givens makes 0-foot tip in dunk
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3352–66
Jibbe Sicking makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1254–66
Assane Diop makes layup (DJ Jackson Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:5654–67
Hudson Greer makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5654–68
Hudson Greer makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4156–68
DJ Jackson Jr. makes 9-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2056–71
BJ Davis makes 25-foot three point jumper (Katrelle Harmon assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:0257–71
Jibbe Sicking makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3957–73
BJ Davis makes 14-foot step back jumpshot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1359–73
Josh Kori makes layup (Sebastian Hartmann assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1559–76
BJ Davis makes 28-foot three pointer
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0361–76
Josh Kori makes 12-foot pullup jump shot
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| KC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A A. Bakhtadze F · #10 | 22 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 S. Hartmann F · #2 | 31 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
 A. Diop F · #9 | 16 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 |
 J. Smith G · #4 | 30 | 15 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 C. Daughtery Jr. G · #8 | 27 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
R R. Butirins F · #21 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
D D. Jencius F · #15 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J J. Sicking F · #6 | 19 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
J J. Kori G · #7 | 15 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
C C. Love G · #5 | 10 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
D DJ Jackson Jr. G · #1 | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
E E. Moskowitz G · #0 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 M. Samar G · #26 | 9 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
M M. Bruce-McCrommon F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
L L. Goodwin G · #20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 61 | 25-52 | 7-22 | 4-7 | 32 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| KC | CREI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-52 | 24-59 |
| FG% | 48 | 41 |
| 3PT | 7-22 | 9-28 |
| 3P% | 32 | 32 |
| FT | 4-7 | 19-23 |
| FT% | 57 | 83 |
| REB | 32 | 34 |
| OR | 5 | 11 |
| DR | 27 | 23 |
| AST | 13 | 13 |
| STL | 6 | 15 |
| BLK | 4 | 5 |
| TO | 22 | 11 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 22 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 21 |
| FBPs | 6 | 15 |
| PIP | 26 | 28 |
| PF | 21 | 14 |
| LL | 8 | 17 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 39 | 59 |
At lock KC 64.48–87.74 CREI · CREI by 23.3 pts vs KC +26.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Bakhtadze · KC
22 MIN · 6 PTSO. Erhunmwunse · CREI
15 MIN · 6 PTSWes Enis · CREI
STAT · 33 MIN · 25 PTS · 7-18 FG · 5-13 3PTJaylen Smith · KC
STAT · 30 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-14 FG · 3-6 3PTBJ Davis · CREI
STAT · 22 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-5 FG · 2-2 3PTSebastian Hartmann · KC
STAT · 31 MIN · 8 PTS · 3-4 FG · 2-2 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Kansas City vs Creighton pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is KC +26.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day