Radford Highlanders at Tennessee Volunteers
Final · SECN+
47–70Last shot · Kolier Pruett misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected RAD 64.12–88.91 TENN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 571874088
- Winner: Tennessee (98%)
- Spread: RAD +28.5 covers (63%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)36
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RAD 64.12–88.91 TENN · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTENN +11.8 off · RAD +8.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TENN
- RecordTENN 2-0 · RAD 0-3
- Market priorBlended 85% toward TENN -29.5 / total 153.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| TENN | 33 | 37 | 70 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:5939–62
Jordyn Kee makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 3:4539–63
Dai Dai Ames makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4539–64
Dai Dai Ames makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1541–64
Kye Davis makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2744–64
Jordyn Kee makes 25-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 2:1444–65
Dai Dai Ames makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1444–66
Dai Dai Ames makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:5845–66
Gabriel Ferreira makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3745–68
Manny Green makes 7-foot jumper (Dai Dai Ames assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:1846–68
Gabriel Ferreira makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4047–68
Gabriel Ferreira makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3147–70
Dai Dai Ames makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RAD | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 F. Erichsen F · #7 | 16 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 G. Ferreira C · #12 | 16 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Robinson G · #23 | 25 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Grujicic G · #9 | 18 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 T. Gross G · #10 | 27 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 P. Kabamba F · #15 | 11 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 C. Jackson F · #34 | 21 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
 C. Cantrell G · #13 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Davis G · #5 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 W. Keel Jr. G · #4 | 28 | 13 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 K. Pruett G · #24 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Kee G · #3 | 23 | 16 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 Z. Walker G · #1 | 9 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 A. Nokes F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Alves G · #31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 47 | 16-61 | 5-24 | 10-17 | 32 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RAD | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 16-61 | 24-52 |
| FG% | 26 | 46 |
| 3PT | 5-24 | 4-17 |
| 3P% | 21 | 24 |
| FT | 10-17 | 18-23 |
| FT% | 59 | 78 |
| REB | 32 | 43 |
| OR | 13 | 9 |
| DR | 19 | 34 |
| AST | 7 | 16 |
| STL | 11 | 11 |
| BLK | 6 | 9 |
| TO | 17 | 16 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 17 | 16 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 19 |
| FBPs | 10 | 14 |
| PIP | 14 | 40 |
| PF | 16 | 16 |
| LL | 4 | 26 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 15 | 74 |
At lock RAD 64.12–88.91 TENN · TENN by 24.8 pts vs RAD +29.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
HitF. Erichsen · RAD
16 MIN · 0-7 FGB. Lue · TENN
16 MIN · 3 PTSTerrence Hill Jr. · TENN
STAT · 28 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-9 FG · 2-4 3PTJordyn Kee · RAD
STAT · 23 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-11 FG · 3-4 3PTWarren Keel Jr. · RAD
STAT · 28 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-13 FG · 1-4 3PTDai Dai Ames · TENN
STAT · 18 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-7 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Radford vs Tennessee pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is RAD +29.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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