NCAABFinalLloyd Noble Center

North Alabama Lions at Oklahoma Sooners

Final · SECN+

North Alabama72–81Oklahoma
North AlabamaOklahoma
Final

Last shot · Jacobe Whitted makes 0-foot tip in layup

North Alabama Lions
2-1 · L2
279 PF · 316 PA
72
Final
Final
Oklahoma Sooners
2-1 · W3
303 PF · 255 PA
81
UNA 2%OU 98%

At lock: projected UNA 61.43–85.23 OU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 11:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3021994842

Winner called · off by 14
Most typical sim
UNA 62 – OU 85
Final
UNA 72 – OU 81
  • Winner: Oklahoma (98%)
  • Spread: UNA +27.5 covers (63%)
  • Total: Over 146.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)14

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

UNA 61.43–85.23 OU · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    OU +7.8 off · UNA +7.3 off, shrunk 20%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to OU
  • Record
    OU 2-1 · UNA 2-1
  • Market prior
    Blended 84% toward OU -27.5 / total 147.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
UNA363672
OU374481

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 2:5961–77

    Ansar Osman makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:5962–77

    Ansar Osman makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:2064–77

    Mike Evbagharu makes 3-foot dunk

  • FT2nd Half 2:1164–78

    B.J. Edwards makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:1164–79

    B.J. Edwards makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5566–79

    Jacobe Whitted makes layup (Quan Lax assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4168–79

    Mike Evbagharu makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 0:4068–80

    B.J. Edwards makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:3269–80

    Mike Evbagharu makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:3270–80

    Mike Evbagharu makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:2270–81

    Pop Isaacs makes free throw 2 of 2

  • TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:1272–81

    Jacobe Whitted makes 0-foot tip in layup

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

UNAMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
D. Carter
F · #2
1942-40-10-020000022
C. Harris
G · #7
2131-61-60-014300010
J. Talley
G · #4
1500-20-20-010310013
C. Graham-Howard
G · #12
2321-20-00-033210121
M. Evbagharu
G · #99
302710-112-35-780200350
A. Osman
F · #8
1671-31-34-431000032
J. Whitted
F · #5
21114-82-51-250200231
D. Yates
F · #1
2121-70-30-150000052
B. Patton
G · #3
200-10-00-000110002
J. Clark
G · #23
1621-10-00-000000004
Q. Lax
G · #0
16145-92-32-212020014
J. Gulley
F · #6
—————————————
M. Chaffee
C · #24
—————————————
M. Ndiaye
G · #55
—————————————
EJ King
G · #14
—————————————
Team7226-548-2612-163510135082721

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

UNAOU
FG26-5425-58
FG%4843
3PT8-2613-43
3P%3130
FT12-1618-27
FT%7567
REB3533
OR810
DR2723
AST1015
STL59
BLK02
TO136
TTO00
ToTO136
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO514
FBPs519
PIP3622
PF2117
LL119
LC44
LPCT194
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
UNA +27.5
56%

At lock UNA 61.43–85.23 OU · OU by 23.8 pts vs UNA +27.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • D. Carter · UNA

    19 MIN · 4 PTS
  • D. Reid · OU

    33 MIN · 10 PTS
  • Mike Evbagharu · UNA

    STAT · 30 MIN · 27 PTS · 10-11 FG · 2-3 3PT
  • Xzayvier Brown · OU

    STAT · 33 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-17 FG · 3-11 3PT
  • B.J. Edwards · OU

    STAT · 26 MIN · 17 PTS · 4-10 FG · 4-10 3PT
  • Quan Lax · UNA

    STAT · 16 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-3 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

North Alabama vs Oklahoma pick result · Nov 9, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is UNA +27.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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