NBAFinalRocket Arena

New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers

Final · NBA TV

109–97

KnicksCavaliers

Final

Last shot · Meleek Thomas misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot

New York Knicks

5-4 · L2

1317 PF · 1244 PA

109

Final

Cleveland Cavaliers

5-5 · W1

1645 PF · 1622 PA

NY 60%CLE 40%

At lock: projected NY 114.19–111.09 CLE

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 794877255

Winner called · off by 20

Most typical sim

NY 115 – CLE 111

Final

NY 109 – CLE 97

Winner: Knicks (60%)
Spread: CLE +4.5 covers (54%)
Total: Over 225.5 (50%)
Score error (both teams)20

Player	Line	Sim median	Actual	Lean
D. Mitchell points	—	26	37	off 11
J. Harden points	—	21	7	off -14
J. Brunson points	—	26	31	off 5
O. Anunoby points	—	17	15	off -2

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: NY vs CLE

The model

How this number was built

NY 114.19–111.09 CLE · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

Power index
CLE +4.0 vs NY +5.7 · pred margin -2.8
Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Adj. net +1.8 vs +4.4 · back-to-back: CLE, NY · model CLE 110.6–111.5 NY
Home field
+2.8 pts to CLE
Record
CLE 5-5 · NY 5-4
Market prior
Blended 66% toward NY -4.5 / total 222.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
NY	26	37	25	21	109
CLE	27	26	17	27	97

Scoring plays

JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 5:14100–87
Donovan Mitchell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Peyton Watson assists)
SCORE4th Quarter 4:54102–87
Jalen Brunson makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot
SCORE4th Quarter 4:18102–89
Donovan Mitchell makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
SCORE4th Quarter 3:17102–92
Donovan Mitchell makes 26-foot running pullup jump shot
SCORE4th Quarter 2:52104–92
Jalen Brunson makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
SCORE4th Quarter 2:40104–94
Donovan Mitchell makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
SCORE4th Quarter 1:53104–96
Peyton Watson makes two point shot
JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 1:35106–96
Mikal Bridges makes 13-foot jumper (Jalen Brunson assists)
FT4th Quarter 1:27106–97
Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
FT4th Quarter 52.1107–97
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 2 of 2
FT4th Quarter 42.8108–97
OG Anunoby makes free throw 1 of 2
FT4th Quarter 42.8109–97
OG Anunoby makes free throw 2 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

NY	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
O. Anunoby F · #8	34	15	4-13	3-9	4-4	6	2	2	1	1	1	5	3	-4
K. Towns C · #32	34	29	11-21	2-4	5-5	13	3	0	2	0	5	8	2	+2
M. Bridges G · #25	31	9	4-13	1-7	0-0	6	4	0	0	2	3	3	0	+5
L. Shamet G · #44	29	9	3-8	3-8	0-0	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	+6
J. Brunson G · #11	34	31	12-25	3-7	4-5	6	9	1	0	0	2	4	0	+13
D. Knecht F · #1	5	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	-5
M. Diawara F · #51	14	2	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	2	+16
A. Drummond C · #0	14	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	2	1	2	6	0	+10
J. Clarkson G · #00	15	9	4-5	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	+4
M. McBride G · #2	16	5	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+14
T. Kolek G · #13	14	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	5	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1
P. Dadiet F · #4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Wiseman C · #35	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Alvarado G · #5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team		109	41-96	14-44	13-14	49	27	7	7	4	16	33	18

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	NY	CLE
FG	41-96	35-82
FG%	43	43
3PT	14-44	16-50
3P%	32	32
FT	13-14	11-19
FT%	93	58
REB	49	40
OR	16	10
DR	33	30
AST	27	23
STL	7	3
BLK	4	5
TO	7	11
TTO	3	0
ToTO	10	11
TECH	0	0
TECH	0	0
FLAG	0	0
Points Conceded Off Turnovers	10	17
FBPs	10	15
PIP	34	32
PF	18	18
LL	19	6
LC	11	11
LPCT	69	25

Computer pick · Spread

CLE +4.5

52%

At lock NY 114.19–111.09 CLE · NY by 3.1 pts vs CLE +4.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock · Play of the Day: CLE +4.5 locked at 55% when posted

Miss

Players

Prop J. Brunson · NY
31 PTS · over 26.5
O. Anunoby · NY
34 MIN · 15 PTS
E. Mobley · CLE
33 MIN · 12 PTS
Donovan Mitchell · CLE
STAT · 37 MIN · 37 PTS · 13-22 FG · 5-13 3PT
Karl-Anthony Towns · NY
STAT · 34 MIN · 29 PTS · 11-21 FG · 2-4 3PT
Peyton Watson · CLE
STAT · 29 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-5 3PT

Data-Driven Pick · J. Brunson Under 26.5 pts

Strong play-115Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Knicks vs Cavaliers pick result · Nov 7, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is CLE +4.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day