Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks
Final · DAZN (YES)
121–124Last shot · Danny Wolf makes 24-foot three point jumper (Julius Randle assists)
At lock: projected BKN 108.19–116.42 ATL
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 508524899
- Winner: Hawks (75%)
- Spread: ATL -6.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 224.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)19
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Randle points | — | 21 | 19 | off -2 |
| M. Porter Jr. points | — | 23 | 25 | off 2 |
| J. Johnson points | — | 21 | 30 | off 9 |
| N. Alexander-Walker points | — | 21 | 20 | off -1 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: BKN vs ATL
The model
How this number was built
BKN 108.19–116.42 ATL · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexATL +1.1 vs BKN -5.9 · pred margin +7.6
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net +1.5 vs -6.2 · back-to-back: ATL, BKN · model ATL 119.0–109.0 BKN
- Home field+2.8 pts to ATL
- RecordATL 7-4 · BKN 2-7
- Market priorBlended 66% toward ATL -6.5 / total 227.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 37 | 33 | 25 | 26 | 121 |
| ATL | 27 | 39 | 22 | 36 | 124 |
Scoring plays
FT4th Quarter 1:26114–115Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:07114–117
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes running layup
- SCORE4th Quarter 38.5114–119
Jalen Johnson makes driving layup
- FT4th Quarter 38.5114–120
Jalen Johnson makes free throw 1 of 1
SCORE4th Quarter 16.2116–120Julius Randle makes driving layup
- FT4th Quarter 15.2116–121
Dyson Daniels makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 14.6116–122
Onyeka Okongwu makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 9.5116–123
Aaron Wiggins makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 5.5117–123
Michael Porter Jr. makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT4th Quarter 5.5118–123
Michael Porter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 3
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 1.5121–123
Danny Wolf makes 24-foot three point jumper (Julius Randle assists)
- FT4th Quarter 0.2121–124
Onyeka Okongwu makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BKN | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Randle F · #30 | 34 | 19 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 |
 M. Porter Jr. F · #17 | 36 | 25 | 8-17 | 3-11 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +9 |
 D. Wolf F · #2 | 31 | 11 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | +2 |
 D. Sharpe C · #20 | 32 | 12 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +3 |
 N. Traore G · #10 | 23 | 19 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +9 |
 N. Clowney F · #21 | 21 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -14 |
 C. Johnson F · #31 | 8 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Wagner C · #13 | 16 | 9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6 |
 T. Mann G · #14 | 13 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7 |
 M. Brown Jr. G · #0 | 25 | 18 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 |
 J. Minott F · #00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Ellis G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Powell G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 121 | 43-89 | 14-42 | 21-29 | 53 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 24 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BKN | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 43-89 | 47-105 |
| FG% | 48 | 45 |
| 3PT | 14-42 | 12-46 |
| 3P% | 33 | 26 |
| FT | 21-29 | 18-25 |
| FT% | 72 | 72 |
| REB | 53 | 40 |
| OR | 15 | 15 |
| DR | 38 | 25 |
| AST | 29 | 30 |
| STL | 10 | 11 |
| BLK | 1 | 9 |
| TO | 22 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 22 | 12 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 28 | 13 |
| FBPs | 4 | 20 |
| PIP | 48 | 70 |
| PF | 24 | 18 |
| LL | 17 | 7 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 96 | 3 |
At lock BKN 108.19–116.42 ATL · ATL by 8.2 pts vs ATL -6.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissProp J. Randle · BKN
19 PTS · under 19.5O. Okongwu · ATL
30 MIN · 16 PTSJalen Johnson · ATL
STAT · 36 MIN · 30 PTS · 11-17 FG · 0-5 3PTMichael Porter Jr. · BKN
STAT · 36 MIN · 25 PTS · 8-17 FG · 3-11 3PTNickeil Alexander-Walker · ATL
STAT · 31 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-17 FG · 2-9 3PTAaron Wiggins · ATL
STAT · 26 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-19 FG · 5-13 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · J. Randle Under 19.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Nets vs Hawks pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ATL -6.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day