Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets
Final · DAZN (YES)
104–114Last shot · Brandon Miller misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
At lock: projected CHA 108.98–106.18 BKN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 3, 8:29 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 777113898
- Winner: Hornets (59%)
- Spread: CHA -2.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 214.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)12
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller points | — | 21 | 10 | off -11 |
| M. Porter Jr. points | — | 24 | 26 | off 2 |
| J. Randle points | — | 21 | 22 | off 1 |
| G. Allen points | — | 17 | 22 | off 5 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CHA vs BKN
The model
How this number was built
CHA 108.98–106.18 BKN · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexBKN -5.9 vs CHA -5.3 · pred margin -2.2
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -6.2 vs -0.7 · back-to-back: BKN, CHA · model BKN 105.2–109.1 CHA
- Home field+2.8 pts to BKN
- RecordBKN 2-6 · CHA 3-6
- Market priorBlended 67% toward CHA -3.5 / total 213.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA | 24 | 33 | 23 | 24 | 104 |
| BKN | 21 | 29 | 30 | 34 | 114 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 5:1197–104Naz Reid makes 16-foot turnaround jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
SCORE4th Quarter 3:4997–106Danny Wolf makes running layup (Nolan Traore assists)
- FT4th Quarter 3:4997–107
Danny Wolf makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT4th Quarter 3:1297–108
Danny Wolf makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 3:1297–109
Danny Wolf makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 3:00100–109
Brandon Miller makes 25-foot three point jumper (Grayson Allen assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 2:35100–111
Nolan Traore makes 3-foot two point shot
- FT4th Quarter 2:00100–112
Michael Porter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 1:58101–112
Grayson Allen makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 1:58102–112
Grayson Allen makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:29104–112
Moussa Diabate makes running layup (Sion James assists)
- DUNK SHOT4th Quarter 27.0104–114
Michael Porter Jr. makes 1-foot dunk (Terance Mann assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CHA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Diabate F · #14 | 29 | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -18 |
 B. Miller F · #24 | 26 | 10 | 2-15 | 1-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -16 |
 N. Reid C · #0 | 36 | 28 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -7 |
 C. White G · #3 | 18 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -15 |
 K. Knueppel G · #7 | 6 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
 R. O'Neale F · #00 | 18 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 |
 T. Salaun F · #31 | 10 | 9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 |
 R. Kalkbrenner C · #11 | 19 | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +8 |
 D. Schroder G · #17 | 20 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +6 |
 G. Allen G · #8 | 27 | 22 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +7 |
 S. James G · #4 | 31 | 10 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8 |
 H. Steinbach F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Anderson G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. McNeeley G · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 104 | 31-77 | 12-40 | 30-36 | 41 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 29 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHA | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 31-77 | 40-79 |
| FG% | 40 | 51 |
| 3PT | 12-40 | 14-37 |
| 3P% | 30 | 38 |
| FT | 30-36 | 20-28 |
| FT% | 83 | 71 |
| REB | 41 | 38 |
| OR | 11 | 5 |
| DR | 30 | 33 |
| AST | 20 | 25 |
| STL | 6 | 8 |
| BLK | 4 | 3 |
| TO | 17 | 11 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 17 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 17 | 15 |
| FBPs | 8 | 13 |
| PIP | 34 | 50 |
| PF | 29 | 34 |
| LL | 10 | 12 |
| LC | 12 | 12 |
| LPCT | 40 | 46 |
At lock CHA 108.98–106.18 BKN · CHA by 2.8 pts vs CHA -2.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissProp N. Clowney · BKN
7 PTS · covers 6.5M. Diabate · CHA
29 MIN · 7 PTSJ. Randle · BKN
31 MIN · 22 PTSNaz Reid · CHA
STAT · 36 MIN · 28 PTS · 11-18 FG · 2-5 3PTMichael Porter Jr. · BKN
STAT · 38 MIN · 26 PTS · 8-17 FG · 4-9 3PTGrayson Allen · CHA
STAT · 27 MIN · 22 PTS · 6-11 FG · 5-7 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · N. Clowney Over 6.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Hornets vs Nets pick result · Nov 4, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CHA -2.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day