Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers
Final · NBA League Pass
107–126Last shot · Rayan Rupert makes two point shot
At lock: projected CHI 114.28–124.99 PHI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 1, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 794038612
- Winner: 76ers (81%)
- Spread: CHI +11.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Under 239.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)9
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Giddey points | — | 15 | 13 | off -2 |
| C. Wilson points | — | 21 | 24 | off 3 |
| J. Brown points | — | 27 | 25 | off -2 |
| T. Maxey points | — | 28 | 26 | off -2 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CHI vs PHI
The model
How this number was built
CHI 114.28–124.99 PHI · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexPHI +2.7 vs CHI -5.4 · pred margin +10.5
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net +0.7 vs -6.4 · back-to-back: PHI, CHI · model PHI 123.1–113.7 CHI
- Home field+2.8 pts to PHI
- RecordPHI 7-1 · CHI 1-6
- Market priorBlended 68% toward PHI -10.5 / total 240.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 23 | 36 | 20 | 28 | 107 |
| PHI | 30 | 34 | 26 | 36 | 126 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 4:46101–111Norman Powell makes 2-foot two point shot
SCORE4th Quarter 4:26101–113Tyrese Maxey makes driving layup (LeBron James assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 3:42101–116
Jaylen Brown makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyrese Maxey assists)
- FT4th Quarter 3:36102–116
Josh Giddey makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3PT4th Quarter 3:18102–119
Jaylen Brown makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
- SCORE4th Quarter 2:25102–122
VJ Edgecombe makes 23-foot running jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:31102–124
Justin Edwards makes dunk (Jabari Walker assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:21104–124
Jaylin Sellers makes 12-foot pullup jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)
- FT4th Quarter 29.0105–124
Jordan Hawkins makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 29.0106–124
Jordan Hawkins makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 10.4106–126
Rayan Rupert makes two point shot
- FT4th Quarter 7.3107–126
Jaylin Sellers makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CHI | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Smith F · #25 | 28 | 13 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -15 |
 M. Buzelis F · #14 | 23 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 |
 C. Wilson F · #8 | 34 | 24 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -20 |
 N. Powell G · #24 | 29 | 18 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -24 |
 J. Giddey G · #3 | 32 | 13 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -15 |
 Z. Collins F · #12 | 10 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5 |
 I. Okoro F · #35 | 21 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
 L. Miller F · #11 | 9 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 T. Awaka F · #19 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
 N. Essengue F · #2 | 14 | 8 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +2 |
 B. Hield G · #7 | 12 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
 T. Jones G · #30 | 19 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -13 |
 J. Hawkins G · #15 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
 J. Sellers G · #22 | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
 P. Williams F · #44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 107 | 38-89 | 10-38 | 21-32 | 42 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHI | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 38-89 | 48-91 |
| FG% | 43 | 53 |
| 3PT | 10-38 | 11-31 |
| 3P% | 26 | 35 |
| FT | 21-32 | 19-27 |
| FT% | 66 | 70 |
| REB | 42 | 47 |
| OR | 13 | 13 |
| DR | 29 | 34 |
| AST | 26 | 36 |
| STL | 9 | 7 |
| BLK | 7 | 5 |
| TO | 13 | 14 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 15 | 14 |
| TECH | 3 | 0 |
| TECH | 3 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 25 | 23 |
| FBPs | 25 | 31 |
| PIP | 54 | 62 |
| PF | 20 | 23 |
| LL | 4 | 22 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 4 | 91 |
At lock CHI 114.28–124.99 PHI · PHI by 10.7 pts vs CHI +11.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
MissProp L. Miller · CHI
2 PTS · needs 6.5 moreJ. Smith · CHI
28 MIN · 13 PTSL. James · PHI
31 MIN · 15 PTSTyrese Maxey · PHI
STAT · 36 MIN · 26 PTS · 10-15 FG · 1-5 3PTJaylen Brown · PHI
STAT · 33 MIN · 25 PTS · 9-15 FG · 4-7 3PTCaleb Wilson · CHI
STAT · 34 MIN · 24 PTS · 9-17 FG · 4-9 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · L. Miller Over 8.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Bulls vs 76ers pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CHI +11.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day