NBAFinalMadison Square Garden

Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks

Final · NBA League Pass

Nets90–103Knicks
NetsKnicks
Final

Last shot · Nolan Traore makes 27-foot three point jumper (Mikel Brown Jr. assists)

Brooklyn Nets
1-6 · L1
1322 PF · 1397 PA
90
Final
Final
New York Knicks
3-4 · L2
1317 PF · 1244 PA
103
BKN 12%NY 88%

At lock: projected BKN 103.33–117.59 NY

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 1, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 827593850

Winner called · off by 28
Most typical sim
BKN 103 – NY 118
Final
BKN 90 – NY 103
  • Winner: Knicks (89%)
  • Spread: BKN +14.5 covers (51%)
  • Total: Under 221.5 (53%)
  • Score error (both teams)28
PlayerLineSim medianActualLean
M. Porter Jr. points—2418off -6
J. Randle points—2121off 0
J. Brunson points—2519off -6
O. Anunoby points—1618off 2

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: BKN vs NY

The model

How this number was built

BKN 103.33–117.59 NY · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    NY +5.7 vs BKN -5.9 · pred margin +14.3
  • Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
    Adj. net +4.4 vs -6.2 · back-to-back: NY, BKN · model NY 114.3–101.2 BKN
  • Home field
    +2.8 pts to NY
  • Record
    NY 3-4 · BKN 1-6
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward NY -14.5 / total 218.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2123351190
NY27242428103

Scoring plays

  • FT4th Quarter 6:3184–92

    OG Anunoby makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT4th Quarter 6:3184–93

    OG Anunoby makes free throw 2 of 2

  • SCORE4th Quarter 6:0484–95

    Karl-Anthony Towns makes 3-foot two point shot

  • FT4th Quarter 4:4784–96

    Jalen Brunson makes free throw 2 of 2

  • SCORE4th Quarter 4:0084–98

    Jordan Clarkson makes 13-foot floating jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)

  • SCORE4th Quarter 3:0884–100

    Andre Drummond makes 1-foot layup (Jalen Brunson assists)

  • FT4th Quarter 2:2385–100

    Julius Randle makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT4th Quarter 2:2386–100

    Julius Randle makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT4th Quarter 1:4987–100

    Julius Randle makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT4th Quarter 1:3787–101

    OG Anunoby makes free throw 2 of 2

  • SCORE4th Quarter 45.787–103

    Landry Shamet makes 2-foot layup (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)

  • JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 39.090–103

    Nolan Traore makes 27-foot three point jumper (Mikel Brown Jr. assists)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

BKNMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
J. Randle
F · #30
36215-160-411-15112410652-12
M. Porter Jr.
F · #17
37186-134-112-352011053-10
C. Johnson
F · #31
2841-51-21-232221121-20
D. Sharpe
C · #20
2241-50-02-263301335-5
N. Traore
G · #10
24176-85-60-034211034-8
J. Minott
F · #00
000-00-00-000000000-1
N. Clowney
F · #21
2021-30-10-062000241+3
M. Wagner
C · #13
2062-71-21-112010010-5
K. Ellis
G · #1
2552-61-40-210013013-4
M. Brown Jr.
G · #0
27135-131-82-223200021-3
D. Wolf
F · #2
——————————————
T. Mann
G · #14
——————————————
D. Powell
G · #4
——————————————
Team9029-7613-3819-2738201377122620

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

BKNNY
FG29-7631-75
FG%3841
3PT13-3817-44
3P%3439
FT19-2724-29
FT%7083
REB3843
OR1211
DR2632
AST2024
STL78
BLK75
TO1315
TTO31
ToTO1616
TECH01
TECH01
FLAG00
Points Conceded Off Turnovers2115
FBPs213
PIP2624
PF2026
LL516
LC99
LPCT1674
Computer pick · Spread
BKN +14.5
50%

At lock BKN 103.33–117.59 NY · NY by 14.3 pts vs BKN +14.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • Prop M. McBride · NY

    6 PTS · needs 1.5 more
  • J. Randle · BKN

    36 MIN · 21 PTS
  • O. Anunoby · NY

    38 MIN · 18 PTS
  • Landry Shamet · NY

    STAT · 30 MIN · 22 PTS · 6-8 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Jalen Brunson · NY

    STAT · 34 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-16 FG · 4-11 3PT
  • Michael Porter Jr. · BKN

    STAT · 37 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-13 FG · 4-11 3PT

Data-Driven Pick · M. McBride Over 7.5 pts

-103Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Nets vs Knicks pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is BKN +14.5, with a 50% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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