New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers
Final · Prime Video
104–106Last shot · Karl-Anthony Towns misses 15-foot turnaround jump shot
At lock: projected NY 113.00–106.13 IND
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 857626401
- Winner: Knicks (72%)
- Spread: NY -6.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 219.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)9
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nembhard points | — | 17 | 12 | off -5 |
| O. Anunoby points | — | 17 | 11 | off -6 |
| P. Siakam points | — | 23 | 19 | off -4 |
| J. Brunson points | — | 26 | 33 | off 7 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: NY vs IND
The model
How this number was built
NY 113.00–106.13 IND · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexIND -3.1 vs NY +5.7 · pred margin -7.1
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -3.8 vs +4.4 · back-to-back: IND, NY · model IND 105.8–112.5 NY
- Home field+2.8 pts to IND
- RecordIND 5-8 · NY 6-6
- Market priorBlended 65% toward NY -7.5 / total 218.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 27 | 22 | 35 | 20 | 104 |
| IND | 26 | 32 | 27 | 21 | 106 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 7:4389–99Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
- FT4th Quarter 7:2389–100
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 6:3689–102
Aaron Nesmith makes 2-foot driving dunk
JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 6:0892–102Mikal Bridges makes 26-foot three point jumper (Landry Shamet assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 5:1594–102
Jalen Brunson makes running layup
- SCORE4th Quarter 4:5994–104
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes layup (Quenton Jackson assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 4:4597–104
Karl-Anthony Towns makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jalen Brunson assists)
- FT4th Quarter 3:2098–104
Karl-Anthony Towns makes free throw 1 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:4998–106
Pascal Siakam makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:04100–106
Karl-Anthony Towns makes 10-foot two point shot
- SCORE4th Quarter 26.2102–106
Jalen Brunson makes driving layup
- SCORE4th Quarter 10.2104–106
Mikal Bridges makes 19-foot pullup jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NY | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 O. Anunoby F · #8 | 33 | 11 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8 |
 K. Towns C · #32 | 34 | 23 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -3 |
 J. Hart G · #3 | 23 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -11 |
 M. Bridges G · #25 | 29 | 18 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 |
 J. Brunson G · #11 | 36 | 33 | 11-22 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +8 |
 P. Dadiet F · #4 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 |
 A. Drummond C · #0 | 14 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +3 |
 J. Clarkson G · #00 | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11 |
 L. Shamet G · #44 | 21 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +9 |
 M. McBride G · #2 | 22 | 9 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +6 |
 T. Kolek G · #13 | 19 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -8 |
 M. Diawara F · #51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Wiseman C · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Alvarado G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 104 | 39-91 | 16-46 | 10-13 | 43 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 24 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NY | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 39-91 | 39-90 |
| FG% | 43 | 43 |
| 3PT | 16-46 | 10-29 |
| 3P% | 35 | 34 |
| FT | 10-13 | 18-25 |
| FT% | 77 | 72 |
| REB | 43 | 50 |
| OR | 8 | 17 |
| DR | 35 | 33 |
| AST | 28 | 23 |
| STL | 11 | 6 |
| BLK | 3 | 3 |
| TO | 13 | 15 |
| TTO | 4 | 2 |
| ToTO | 17 | 17 |
| TECH | 2 | 0 |
| TECH | 2 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 7 | 18 |
| FBPs | 14 | 9 |
| PIP | 30 | 50 |
| PF | 24 | 16 |
| LL | 9 | 14 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 18 | 76 |
Model projected NY 113.00 – 106.13 IND at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -2.0%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop J. Brunson · NY
33 PTS · over 24.5O. Anunoby · NY
33 MIN · 11 PTSP. Siakam · IND
32 MIN · 19 PTSKarl-Anthony Towns · NY
STAT · 34 MIN · 23 PTS · 9-19 FG · 3-7 3PTMikal Bridges · NY
STAT · 29 MIN · 18 PTS · 8-12 FG · 2-4 3PTAaron Nesmith · IND
STAT · 33 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-10 FG · 2-3 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · J. Brunson Under 24.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Knicks vs Pacers pick result · Nov 13, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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