Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Final · Prime Video
95–119Last shot · Mario Hezonja makes layup (Norchad Omier assists)
At lock: projected PHI 115.10–114.83 CLE
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2820357561
- Winner: 76ers (51%)
- Spread: CLE +1.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 229.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)25
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell points | — | 26 | 23 | off -3 |
| J. Brown points | — | 26 | 20 | off -6 |
| J. Harden points | — | 21 | 17 | off -4 |
| T. Maxey points | — | 28 | 17 | off -11 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: PHI vs CLE
The model
How this number was built
PHI 115.10–114.83 CLE · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexCLE +4.0 vs PHI +2.7 · pred margin -1.3
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net +1.8 vs +0.7 · back-to-back: CLE, PHI · model CLE 116.4–113.4 PHI
- Home field+2.8 pts to CLE
- RecordCLE 5-4 · PHI 8-2
- Market priorBlended 80% toward PHI -2.5 / total 232.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 22 | 32 | 20 | 21 | 95 |
| CLE | 33 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 119 |
Scoring plays
JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 3:4187–108James Harden makes 25-foot three point jumper (Meleek Thomas assists)
- FT4th Quarter 3:2187–109
Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
FT4th Quarter 3:1688–109Labaron Philon Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 3:0488–111
Meleek Thomas makes 2-foot two point shot
- SCORE4th Quarter 2:4990–111
Jabari Walker makes driving dunk (Labaron Philon Jr. assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 1:3890–114
Thomas Bryant makes 25-foot three point jumper (Meleek Thomas assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 54.692–114
Labaron Philon Jr. makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot (Jabari Walker assists)
- FT4th Quarter 39.392–115
Thomas Bryant makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT4th Quarter 39.392–116
Thomas Bryant makes free throw 2 of 3
- FT4th Quarter 39.392–117
Thomas Bryant makes free throw 3 of 3
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 19.595–117
Justin Edwards makes 31-foot three point jumper (Anfernee Simons assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 5.495–119
Mario Hezonja makes layup (Norchad Omier assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| PHI | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. James F · #23 | 32 | 8 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -8 |
 J. Embiid C · #21 | 25 | 6 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -15 |
 J. Brown G · #7 | 34 | 20 | 9-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -22 |
 T. Maxey G · #0 | 32 | 17 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -19 |
 V. Edgecombe G · #77 | 32 | 19 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11 |
 D. Wade F · #45 | 21 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -16 |
 J. Walker F · #33 | 17 | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 |
 J. Edwards F · #11 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
 T. Fall C · #99 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
 K. Caldwell-Pope G · #1 | 17 | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
 A. Simons G · #5 | 19 | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -16 |
 L. Philon Jr. G · #00 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Team | 95 | 31-85 | 10-40 | 23-29 | 42 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PHI | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 31-85 | 40-88 |
| FG% | 36 | 45 |
| 3PT | 10-40 | 13-37 |
| 3P% | 25 | 35 |
| FT | 23-29 | 26-34 |
| FT% | 79 | 76 |
| REB | 42 | 56 |
| OR | 10 | 14 |
| DR | 32 | 42 |
| AST | 20 | 25 |
| STL | 8 | 11 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 15 | 15 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 16 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 24 | 16 |
| FBPs | 17 | 16 |
| PIP | 30 | 50 |
| PF | 23 | 22 |
| LL | 2 | 25 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock PHI 115.10–114.83 CLE · PHI by 0.3 pts vs CLE +1.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock · Play of the Day: CLE +1.5 locked at 55% when posted
HitProp D. Mitchell · CLE
23 PTS · under 24.5L. James · PHI
32 MIN · 8 PTSE. Mobley · CLE
32 MIN · 22 PTSJaylen Brown · PHI
STAT · 34 MIN · 20 PTS · 9-19 FG · 2-9 3PTVJ Edgecombe · PHI
STAT · 32 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-13 FG · 3-5 3PTTyrese Maxey · PHI
STAT · 32 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-15 FG · 2-9 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · D. Mitchell Under 24.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
76ers vs Cavaliers pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CLE +1.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day