NCAAFFinalMartin Stadium

Colorado State Rams at Washington State Cougars

Final · CBSSN

7–73

Colorado StWashington St

Final

Colorado State Rams

3-7 · L3

329 PF · 476 PA

Final

Washington State Cougars

2-8 · W1

244 PF · 254 PA

CSU 29%WSU 71%

At lock: projected CSU 28.92–37.77 WSU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 10:48 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1047284249

Winner called · off by 57

Most typical sim

CSU 29 – WSU 38

Final

CSU 7 – WSU 73

Winner: Washington St (71%)
Spread: WSU -8.5 covers (51%)
Total: Over 66.5 (52%)
Score error (both teams)57

Final from . Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: CSU vs WSU

The model

How this number was built

CSU 28.92–37.77 WSU · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

Power index
WSU -9.7 vs CSU -13.0 · pred margin +7.5
Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Opponent-adjusted (SOS) -1.5 vs -6.0 · model WSU 35.3–24.9 CSU
Home field
+3.0 pts to WSU
Record
WSU 2-8 · CSU 3-7
Market prior
Blended 66% toward WSU -7.5 / total 64.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
CSU	0	7	0	0	7
WSU	14	24	21	14	73

How the points were scored

TDQ1 6:360–7
Kirby Vorhees 3 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ1 0:550–14
Kirby Vorhees 98 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ2 12:270–21
Owen Eshelman 4 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ2 7:310–28
Owen Eshelman 9 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ2 2:160–35
Kirby Vorhees 14 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ2 0:387–35
RJ Vick 1 Yd Run (Kali Nguma Kick)
FGQ2 0:007–38
Jack Stevens 33 Yd Field Goal
TDQ3 13:267–45
Branden Ganashamoorthy 30 Yd pass from Owen Eshelman (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ3 7:147–52
Owen Eshelman 1 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ3 3:487–59
Kirby Vorhees 10 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ4 12:137–66
Maxwell Woods 2 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)
TDQ4 9:107–73
Julian Dugger 60 Yd Run (Miguel Arenas Kick)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Passing

CSU	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	INT	QBR
Hauss Hejny #8	14/24	199	8.3	1	18.9
Terrence Smith Jr. #15	1/1	14	14.0	0	--
K'saan Farrar #2	0/1	0	0.0	0	--
Team	15/26	213	8.2	1	--

Rushing

CSU	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Hauss Hejny #8	7	25	3.6	0	18
Durell Robinson #11	9	25	2.8	0	7
Damian Moore Jr. #23	2	6	3.0	0	3
Jaivyn Moore #20	1	2	2.0	0	2
RJ Vick #0	1	1	1.0	1	1
Mel Brown #1	2	1	0.5	0	2
Oliver Lundberg #44	2	1	0.5	0	1
Team	24	61	2.5	1	18

Receiving

CSU	REC	YDS	AVG	LONG
Tommy Maher #10	4	76	19.0	35
RJ Vick #0	2	47	23.5	35
Durell Robinson #11	1	35	35.0	35
Dominic Toy #30	2	24	12.0	21
Hauss Hejny #8	1	14	14.0	14
Cedric Ross #22	2	10	5.0	6
Jaivyn Moore #20	1	5	5.0	5
Jayden Fox #24	1	2	2.0	2
Terrence Smith Jr. #15	1	0	0.0	0
Team	15	213	14.2	35

Fumbles

CSU	FUM	LOST	REC
Hauss Hejny #8	1	1	0
Team	1	1	0

Defense

CSU	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD
Oumar Diomande #2	8	3	0	0
Tre'Shawn Moore #15	7	1	0	0
Jaylen King #27	6	2	0.5	0
D'Angelo Hagans Jr. #5	6	1	0	0
Brandon Kelley #10	5	2	0	0
Jaseim Mitchell #23	5	2	0	0
T TaVeon Robinson #99	5	0	0	0
Kallen Martinez #30	4	3	0	0
D'Mon Brinson #1	4	2	0	0
Marc Pretto #28	4	1	0.5	0
Gabe Jones #95	4	0	0	0
T Ty Staples #33	3	2	0	0
Caleb Presley #0	3	1	0	0
Jaden Hernandez #35	3	1	0	0
Jordan Lessard #7	3	1	0	1
Cleto Chol #52	3	0	0	0
Jace Bellah #12	3	0	0	0
Stephon Wright #9	2	0	0	0
Caleb Otlewski #45	2	0	0	0
Keegan Shank #90	2	0	0	0
Nykobi Brown #19	2	0	0	0
Xavier Wimbush #29	2	0	0	0
Walker Himebauch #56	1	1	0	0
Tommy Maher #10	1	1	0	0
Troy Foster #81	1	1	0	0
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji #92	1	0	0	0
Robby Harrison #93	1	0	0	0
CJ Blocker #17	1	0	0	0
Antarron Turner #8	1	0	0	0
Kenyon Agurs #56	1	0	0	0
Trey Vincent #24	1	0	0	0
Elijah Brown #6	1	0	0	0
Desman Manuel #55	1	0	0	0
Team	97	25	1	1

Kick returns

CSU	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG
Mel Brown #1	4	70	17.5	25
Cedric Ross #22	2	30	15.0	16
Nykobi Brown #19	1	0	0.0	0
Team	7	100	14.3	25

Kicking

CSU	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Kali Nguma #40	0/0	0.0	0	1/1	1
Team	0/0	0.0	0	1/1	1

Punting

CSU	NO	YDS	AVG	TB	In 20	LONG
Nathan Sutcliffe #39	5	185	37.0	0	0	41
Team	5	185	37.0	0	0	41

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	CSU	WSU
1st Downs	11	35
3rd down efficiency	3-11	9-10
4th down efficiency	0-3	0-0
Total Yards	274	674
Passing	213	139
Comp/Att	15/26	14/15
Yards per pass	8.2	9.3
Rushing	61	535
Rushing Attempts	24	58
Yards per rush	2.5	9.2
Penalties	3-40	1-10
Turnovers	2	0
Fumbles lost	1	0
Interceptions thrown	1	0
Possession	22:41	37:19

Lean · SpreadNot a strong playMiss

CSU +9.5

-110 at lock51%

Model projected CSU 28.92 – 37.77 WSU at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.6%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet

Players

Hauss Hejny · CSU
14/24 C/ATT · 199 YDS
Owen Eshelman · WSU
13/14 C/ATT · 135 YDS
Kirby Vorhees · WSU
12 CAR · 197 YDS
Tommy Maher · CSU
4 REC · 76 YDS
Branden Ganashamoorthy · WSU
4 REC · 80 YDS
Oumar Diomande · CSU
8 TOT · 3 SOLO

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Colorado St vs Washington St pick result · Nov 14, 2026

Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

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