Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Final · ESPN+
94–97Last shot · LJ Hackman misses free throw 3 of 3
At lock: projected WKU 83.41–81.72 TNTC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 8:50 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1323875317
- Winner: Western KY (56%)
- Spread: TNTC +2.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 162.5 (65%)
- Score error (both teams)25
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WKU 83.41–81.72 TNTC · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTNTC +12.7 off · WKU +10.9 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TNTC
- RecordTNTC 2-1 · WKU 2-1
- Market priorBlended 70% toward WKU -3.5 / total 164.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 41 | 53 | 94 |
| TNTC | 50 | 47 | 97 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 1:5682–91
De'Ante Green makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4584–91
Armelo Boone makes 8-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3084–94
Trent Mosquera makes 27-foot three point jumper (Kamai Samuels assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1387–94
Gabe Weis makes 28-foot three point jumper (Sharron Young assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5289–94
Armelo Boone makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:4989–95
Kamai Samuels makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2591–95
Gabe Weis makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2391–96
Kamai Samuels makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2391–97
Kamai Samuels makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0892–97
Teagan Moore makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0293–97
LJ Hackman makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT2nd Half 0:0294–97
LJ Hackman makes free throw 2 of 3
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WKU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 E. Erkins-Ford F · #13 | 17 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
 EJ Walker F · #6 | 17 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
 A. Boone G · #12 | 31 | 14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
 S. Young G · #3 | 29 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 T. Moore G · #30 | 29 | 22 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
 M. Konare F · #32 | 15 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 G. Weis F · #11 | 14 | 9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Rice G · #24 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 LJ Hackman G · #2 | 23 | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 T. LaBeaux G · #23 | 20 | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 J. Adebayo F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Murphy G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Norgaard G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Unseld G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 94 | 29-61 | 3-10 | 33-45 | 35 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 25 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WKU | TNTC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 29-61 | 26-58 |
| FG% | 48 | 45 |
| 3PT | 3-10 | 19-36 |
| 3P% | 30 | 53 |
| FT | 33-45 | 26-39 |
| FT% | 73 | 67 |
| REB | 35 | 37 |
| OR | 12 | 10 |
| DR | 23 | 27 |
| AST | 11 | 20 |
| STL | 3 | 5 |
| BLK | 6 | 7 |
| TO | 15 | 17 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 15 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 22 | 11 |
| FBPs | 16 | 10 |
| PIP | 44 | 14 |
| PF | 25 | 28 |
| LL | 6 | 15 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 12 | 83 |
At lock WKU 83.41–81.72 TNTC · WKU by 1.7 pts vs TNTC +2.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitE. Erkins-Ford · WKU
17 MIN · 6 PTSC. Sanders · TNTC
30 MIN · 16 PTSCbo Newton · TNTC
STAT · 25 MIN · 23 PTS · 8-12 FG · 6-7 3PTTeagan Moore · WKU
STAT · 29 MIN · 22 PTS · 6-17 FG · 1-2 3PTLJ Hackman · WKU
STAT · 23 MIN · 17 PTS · 2-4 FG · 13-14 FTTrent Mosquera · TNTC
STAT · 22 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-7 FG · 5-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Western KY vs Tennessee Tech pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is TNTC +2.5, with a 51% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day