UNC Greensboro Spartans at UIC Flames
Final · ESPN+
72–82Last shot · Charles Barnes makes layup (Martin Giant assists)
At lock: projected UNCG 66.15–83.98 UIC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3211707125
- Winner: UIC (94%)
- Spread: UNCG +20.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Over 149.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)8
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UNCG 66.15–83.98 UIC · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUIC +10.2 off · UNCG +10.8 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UIC
- RecordUIC 3-0 · UNCG 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward UIC -19.5 / total 148.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 32 | 40 | 72 |
| UIC | 33 | 49 | 82 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4564–77
Gabe Cupps makes layup
- FT2nd Half 2:2865–77
Dionte Neal makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2866–77
Dionte Neal makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0066–78
Rashund Washington Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4966–79
Rashund Washington Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4966–80
Rashund Washington Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:3768–80
Zavier Fitch makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 1:0469–80
Zavier Fitch makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0470–80
Zavier Fitch makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3070–81
Dikembe Shaw makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3070–82
Dikembe Shaw makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1672–82
Charles Barnes makes layup (Martin Giant assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 V. Collins Jr. F · #33 | 12 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 RJ Greer G · #14 | 33 | 12 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 J. Mani G · #6 | 24 | 10 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 C. Grant G · #4 | 37 | 12 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
 D. Neal G · #0 | 31 | 10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 C. LaFrentz F · #32 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Z. Fitch F · #11 | 29 | 13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
 C. Barnes G · #24 | 20 | 9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 B. Mishak G · #3 | 11 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 M. Giant G · #2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Bailey II G · #7 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Bynum F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Beljan F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Stacker G · #44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 72 | 24-60 | 11-32 | 13-13 | 34 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UNCG | UIC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-60 | 26-59 |
| FG% | 40 | 44 |
| 3PT | 11-32 | 7-25 |
| 3P% | 34 | 28 |
| FT | 13-13 | 23-28 |
| FT% | 100 | 82 |
| REB | 34 | 33 |
| OR | 16 | 15 |
| DR | 18 | 18 |
| AST | 17 | 19 |
| STL | 1 | 9 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 16 | 5 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 16 | 5 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 18 |
| FBPs | 5 | 8 |
| PIP | 22 | 34 |
| PF | 19 | 18 |
| LL | 11 | 20 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 43 | 56 |
At lock UNCG 66.15–83.98 UIC · UIC by 17.8 pts vs UNCG +20.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitV. Collins Jr. · UNCG
12 MIN · 3 PTSJ. Nathaniel · UIC
26 MIN · 7 PTSRashund Washington Jr. · UIC
STAT · 29 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-3 3PTGabe Cupps · UIC
STAT · 28 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-7 FG · 2-3 3PTBenny Gealer · UIC
STAT · 30 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-11 FG · 2-9 3PTZavier Fitch · UNCG
STAT · 29 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-11 FG · 3-3 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
UNC Greensboro vs UIC pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UNCG +20.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day