Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Temple Owls
Final · ESPN+
56–68Last shot · Raphel Laurent misses 29-foot three point pullup jump shot
At lock: projected CCSU 64.91–78.71 TEM
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 39744546
- Winner: Temple (89%)
- Spread: CCSU +15.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 143.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)20
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CCSU 64.91–78.71 TEM · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseTEM +0.0 off · CCSU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to TEM
- Market priorBlended 86% toward TEM -14.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 16 | 40 | 56 |
| TEM | 36 | 32 | 68 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:1641–61
Jordan Marsh makes driving layup (Cam Scott assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:4743–61
Raphel Laurent makes driving layup (Ashton Reynolds assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1946–61
Jhace Johnson makes 26-foot three point jumper (James Jones assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3248–61
Jayden Mott makes layup (Raphel Laurent assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:5748–62
Gavin Griffiths makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4150–62
Raphel Laurent makes 4-foot pullup jump shot (Jhace Johnson assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5150–64
Jordan Marsh makes 4-foot floating jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2753–64
Raphel Laurent makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jayden Mott assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2753–66
Baboucarr Njie makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0756–66
Ashton Reynolds makes 26-foot three point jumper (James Jones assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0656–67
Derrian Ford makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0656–68
Derrian Ford makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. Tibby F · #23 | 11 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Mott F · #11 | 24 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 M. Goodwin G · #6 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 R. Laurent G · #1 | 26 | 13 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
 J. Jones G · #24 | 34 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
 B. Jackson F · #7 | 13 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Johnson G · #2 | 30 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 A. Reynolds G · #13 | 28 | 18 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 E. Parker G · #0 | 21 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 V. Payne Jr. G · #15 | 6 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 R. Jones G · #3 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
D D. Smith F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Gretz F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Ervin F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Langdon F · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. James F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Smith G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 56 | 21-60 | 8-21 | 6-13 | 35 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 11 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CCSU | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-60 | 27-59 |
| FG% | 35 | 46 |
| 3PT | 8-21 | 8-30 |
| 3P% | 38 | 27 |
| FT | 6-13 | 6-10 |
| FT% | 46 | 60 |
| REB | 35 | 39 |
| OR | 10 | 8 |
| DR | 25 | 31 |
| AST | 14 | 15 |
| STL | 8 | 10 |
| BLK | 3 | 7 |
| TO | 12 | 10 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 17 |
| FBPs | 13 | 21 |
| PIP | 26 | 38 |
| PF | 11 | 11 |
| LL | 0 | 25 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock CCSU 64.91–78.71 TEM · TEM by 13.8 pts vs CCSU +15.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitR. Tibby · CCSU
11 MIN · 1 PTSC. Beam · TEM
9 MIN · 2 PTSAshton Reynolds · CCSU
STAT · 28 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-11 FG · 4-8 3PTJordan Marsh · TEM
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-15 FG · 2-9 3PTRaphel Laurent · CCSU
STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-14 FG · 1-5 3PTGavin Griffiths · TEM
STAT · 29 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-11 FG · 2-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
C Connecticut vs Temple pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CCSU +15.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day