Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Washington Huskies
Final · BTN
64–77Last shot · AJ Abrams makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected MVSU 62.05–91.76 WASH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 3:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1631486553
- Winner: Washington (100%)
- Spread: MVSU +33.5 covers (63%)
- Total: Over 153.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)17
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MVSU 62.05–91.76 WASH · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWASH +2.5 off · MVSU +12.4 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WASH
- RecordWASH 2-0 · MVSU 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward WASH -31.5 / total 153.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 33 | 31 | 64 |
| WASH | 43 | 34 | 77 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:0955–68
AJ Abrams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:0956–68
AJ Abrams makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:2856–70
Lathan Sommerville makes layup
- FT2nd Half 4:0957–70
Matt Anglo makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0958–70
Matt Anglo makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4658–72
Ryan Beasley makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0558–74
LeJuan Watts makes layup (Ryan Beasley assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:3859–74
AJ Abrams makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1459–77
Parker Friedrichsen makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ryan Beasley assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0062–77
Gabriel Martinez makes 23-foot three point jumper (Eli Pippins assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2063–77
AJ Abrams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2064–77
AJ Abrams makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G G. Martinez PF · #21 | 33 | 16 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
T T. Williams F · #7 | 39 | 7 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
C C. Cameron G · #8 | 19 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
M M. Anglo G · #5 | 30 | 16 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
A AJ Abrams G · #2 | 29 | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
T T. Wu C · #9 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
E E. Pippins PG · #1 | 24 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
T T. James Jr. G · #20 | 18 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Q Q. Pang PF · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M M. McCoy F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
H H. Wilson Jr. F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Sutton F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Foster G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 64 | 19-52 | 7-22 | 19-23 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 10 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MVSU | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-52 | 28-67 |
| FG% | 37 | 42 |
| 3PT | 7-22 | 17-50 |
| 3P% | 32 | 34 |
| FT | 19-23 | 4-7 |
| FT% | 83 | 57 |
| REB | 25 | 46 |
| OR | 6 | 16 |
| DR | 19 | 30 |
| AST | 8 | 23 |
| STL | 8 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 2 |
| TO | 8 | 13 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 8 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 12 |
| FBPs | 12 | 14 |
| PIP | 20 | 22 |
| PF | 10 | 15 |
| LL | 5 | 18 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 4 | 92 |
At lock MVSU 62.05–91.76 WASH · WASH by 29.7 pts vs MVSU +33.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitG. Martinez · MVSU
33 MIN · 16 PTSN. Dzepina · WASH
19 MIN · 3 PTSAJ Abrams · MVSU
STAT · 29 MIN · 20 PTS · 5-7 FG · 2-3 3PTParker Friedrichsen · WASH
STAT · 21 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-14 FG · 5-11 3PTMatt Anglo · MVSU
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-13 FG · 1-2 3PTRyan Beasley · WASH
STAT · 34 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-11 FG · 4-9 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Miss Valley St vs Washington pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MVSU +33.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day