Cornell Big Red at Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Final · ESPN+
64–71Last shot · Jacob Beccles makes driving layup
At lock: projected COR 80.03–81.18 LEH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 2:17 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2094315095
- Winner: Lehigh (54%)
- Spread: LEH -1.5 covers (51%)
- Total: Over 159.5 (62%)
- Score error (both teams)27
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
COR 80.03–81.18 LEH · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseLEH +12.2 off · COR +20.2 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to LEH
- RecordLEH 1-1 · COR 1-1
- Market priorBlended 71% toward COR -1.5 / total 160.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COR | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| LEH | 39 | 32 | 71 |
Scoring plays
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 3:5156–63
Quinn Gibson makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0956–65
Jalen Vazquez makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:2158–65
Mikehi Williams makes 5-foot dunk (Quinn Gibson assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:1058–66
Hank Alvey makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1058–67
Hank Alvey makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4060–67
Jacob Beccles makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:3260–68
Peter Kramer makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2362–68
Mateen Rafiq makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2262–69
Joshua Ingram makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2262–70
Joshua Ingram makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1162–71
Chris Tshibola makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0564–71
Jacob Beccles makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| COR | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Q. Gibson F · #20 | 29 | 13 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
 K. Sepp F · #21 | 20 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 A. Nimani G · #30 | 30 | 10 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 M. Rafiq G · #10 | 24 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Beccles G · #5 | 21 | 13 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
 M. Williams F · #0 | 20 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
 B. Lecklitner F · #15 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 G. Panzini F · #22 | 13 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 I. Imegwu F · #24 | 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 L. Kennevan G · #23 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 JJ Sanchez G · #8 | 6 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 R. Burbach G · #12 | 20 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 C. Davis F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Abalos F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Ty Iwanonkiw F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Mateo G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Williams G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Griffin G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Fishburn G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 64 | 23-63 | 5-31 | 13-18 | 40 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COR | LEH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-63 | 22-59 |
| FG% | 37 | 37 |
| 3PT | 5-31 | 7-20 |
| 3P% | 16 | 35 |
| FT | 13-18 | 20-26 |
| FT% | 72 | 77 |
| REB | 40 | 42 |
| OR | 12 | 11 |
| DR | 28 | 31 |
| AST | 9 | 10 |
| STL | 8 | 4 |
| BLK | 4 | 6 |
| TO | 11 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 11 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 10 |
| FBPs | 15 | 13 |
| PIP | 36 | 30 |
| PF | 23 | 17 |
| LL | 2 | 13 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 4 | 83 |
At lock COR 80.03–81.18 LEH · 0.7 pts over 160.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissQ. Gibson · COR
29 MIN · 13 PTSE. Benoit · LEH
23 MIN · 18 PTSJoshua Ingram · LEH
STAT · 31 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-12 FG · 1-4 3PTHank Alvey · LEH
STAT · 30 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-8 FG · 6-7 FTJacob Beccles · COR
STAT · 21 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-12 FG · 0-4 3PTAnthony Nimani · COR
STAT · 30 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-9 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Cornell vs Lehigh pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Over 160.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day