North Alabama Lions at Miami Hurricanes
Final · ACC Network
52–94Last shot · Quan Lax makes 29-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected UNA 60.64–89.98 MIA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 958796390
- Winner: Miami (99%)
- Spread: UNA +34.5 covers (67%)
- Total: Over 150.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UNA 60.64–89.98 MIA · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseMIA +2.5 off · UNA +1.4 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MIA
- RecordMIA 3-1 · UNA 2-2
- Market priorBlended 83% toward MIA -32.5 / total 152.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNA | 26 | 26 | 52 |
| MIA | 54 | 40 | 94 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:2236–83
Brent Bland makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:0138–83
Drey Carter makes layup (Cortez Graham-Howard assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1940–83
Mike Evbagharu makes layup
- FT2nd Half 4:1941–83
Mike Evbagharu makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5944–83
Jacobe Whitted makes 25-foot three point jumper (Julius Clark assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5244–85
Egor Ryzhov makes 10-foot hook shot (Dante Allen assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2144–88
Nick Dorn makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dante Allen assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5647–88
Quan Lax makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ansar Osman assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1147–91
Brent Bland makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dante Allen assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3749–91
Jacobe Whitted makes layup (Julius Clark assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1049–94
Nick Dorn makes 22-foot three point jumper (Dante Allen assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0052–94
Quan Lax makes 29-foot three point jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UNA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Carter F · #2 | 20 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 C. Harris G · #7 | 20 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 J. Talley G · #4 | 18 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 C. Graham-Howard G · #12 | 19 | 10 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 M. Evbagharu G · #99 | 24 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 A. Osman F · #8 | 19 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Whitted F · #5 | 20 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
 D. Yates F · #1 | 20 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 B. Patton G · #3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Clark G · #23 | 19 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 Q. Lax G · #0 | 20 | 9 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 J. Gulley F · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Chaffee C · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Ndiaye G · #55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 EJ King G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 52 | 20-61 | 10-32 | 2-4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 10 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UNA | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-61 | 34-70 |
| FG% | 33 | 49 |
| 3PT | 10-32 | 20-47 |
| 3P% | 31 | 43 |
| FT | 2-4 | 6-7 |
| FT% | 50 | 86 |
| REB | 31 | 46 |
| OR | 5 | 9 |
| DR | 26 | 37 |
| AST | 13 | 27 |
| STL | 7 | 10 |
| BLK | 4 | 4 |
| TO | 18 | 13 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 18 | 13 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 20 |
| FBPs | 9 | 19 |
| PIP | 18 | 28 |
| PF | 10 | 15 |
| LL | 2 | 47 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 0 | 96 |
At lock UNA 60.64–89.98 MIA · MIA by 29.3 pts vs UNA +34.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
MissD. Carter · UNA
20 MIN · 4 PTSC. Gaskins · MIA
20 MIN · 9 PTSBrent Bland · MIA
STAT · 20 MIN · 26 PTS · 9-14 FG · 8-13 3PTNick Dorn · MIA
STAT · 20 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-12 FG · 6-12 3PTShelton Henderson · MIA
STAT · 25 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-3 3PTCortez Graham-Howard · UNA
STAT · 19 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-9 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
North Alabama vs Miami pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UNA +34.5, with a 58% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day