Towson Tigers at Utah Utes
Final · ESPN+
57–67Last shot · Christian Doerr misses driving layup
At lock: projected TOW 64.93–72.72 UTAH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 6:30 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1437197241
- Winner: Utah (75%)
- Spread: TOW +8.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 137.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)14
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
TOW 64.93–72.72 UTAH · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUTAH +9.3 off · TOW +24.1 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UTAH
- RecordUTAH 2-0 · TOW 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward UTAH -8.5 / total 137.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 19 | 38 | 57 |
| UTAH | 27 | 40 | 67 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 1:4251–59
Jaquan Womack makes free throw 1 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:1953–59
Caleb Embeya makes 3-foot dunk
- FT2nd Half 1:0353–60
Taison Chatman makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0353–61
Taison Chatman makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:5055–61
Chike Ndefo makes 0-foot tip in layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:3555–63
Alec Anigbata makes 6-foot dunk (Trey Campbell assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3555–64
Alec Anigbata makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:1955–65
Trey Campbell makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1256–65
Christian Doerr makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1257–65
Christian Doerr makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0957–66
Alec Anigbata makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0957–67
Alec Anigbata makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| TOW | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Embeya F · #23 | 21 | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
 J. Womack G · #24 | 34 | 13 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Doerr G · #2 | 31 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 Z. Stanford G · #1 | 29 | 7 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 B. Roseborough G · #11 | 29 | 13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 A. Atkinson F · #12 | 7 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 B. Holmes F · #30 | 11 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Williams Crawford G · #15 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 J. Barton G · #5 | 11 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 M. Sajid G · #3 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 C. Ndefo G · #13 | 21 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
 D. Kirk F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Badalau F · #27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Ashley Wright G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Skerry G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 57 | 22-56 | 6-20 | 7-16 | 30 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| TOW | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-56 | 20-44 |
| FG% | 39 | 45 |
| 3PT | 6-20 | 8-23 |
| 3P% | 30 | 35 |
| FT | 7-16 | 19-24 |
| FT% | 44 | 79 |
| REB | 30 | 35 |
| OR | 11 | 8 |
| DR | 19 | 27 |
| AST | 9 | 15 |
| STL | 10 | 5 |
| BLK | 3 | 6 |
| TO | 13 | 18 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 18 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 10 |
| FBPs | 6 | 14 |
| PIP | 30 | 24 |
| PF | 20 | 14 |
| LL | 7 | 15 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 27 | 72 |
At lock TOW 64.93–72.72 UTAH · UTAH by 7.8 pts vs TOW +8.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
MissC. Embeya · TOW
21 MIN · 7 PTSA. Anigbata · UTAH
27 MIN · 13 PTSTaison Chatman · UTAH
STAT · 22 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-6 FG · 3-5 3PTJaquan Womack · TOW
STAT · 34 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-12 FG · 2-6 3PTBen Roseborough · TOW
STAT · 29 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-2 3PTChristian Doerr · TOW
STAT · 31 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-9 FG · 1-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Towson vs Utah pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is TOW +8.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day