Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Georgetown Hoyas
Final · ESPN+
58–80Last shot · Michael Van Raaphorst misses 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected L-MD 64.48–85.16 GTWN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 321522638
- Winner: Georgetown (97%)
- Spread: L-MD +23.5 covers (59%)
- Total: Under 150.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)11
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
L-MD 64.48–85.16 GTWN · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGTWN +0.0 off · L-MD +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GTWN
- Market priorBlended 86% toward GTWN -27.5 / total 153.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 20 | 38 | 58 |
| GTWN | 44 | 36 | 80 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:3545–71
Caleb Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3545–72
Caleb Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:5047–72
Gage Howard makes layup (Carter Berg-McLean assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:3047–73
Vince Iwuchukwu makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4947–75
Josiah Parker makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3449–75
Abdullah Amzil makes driving layup (Gage Howard assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1149–77
Justin Caldwell makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2749–79
Elmarko Jackson makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:2749–80
Elmarko Jackson makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1152–80
Mason Hagedorn makes 25-foot three point jumper (Max Ortega assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3755–80
Zeke Walker makes 23-foot three point jumper (Max Ortega assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1758–80
Seamus Bieg makes 24-foot three point jumper (Zeke Walker assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. Emenalo F · #13 | 28 | 7 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
 E. Barnes F · #17 | 19 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
 D. Harrison F · #0 | 27 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Berg-McLean G · #5 | 28 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
 L. Ricketts G · #33 | 22 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 G. Howard F · #24 | 18 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 A. Amzil F · #14 | 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 M. Hagedorn F · #9 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Z. Walker G · #7 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Bieg G · #4 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 R. Long III G · #3 | 22 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 M. Ortega G · #1 | 10 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 T. Cicero Jr. G · #2 | 7 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 A. Huguet F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Springer F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Kodi F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 58 | 24-63 | 10-28 | 0-2 | 35 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| L-MD | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-63 | 29-63 |
| FG% | 38 | 46 |
| 3PT | 10-28 | 7-26 |
| 3P% | 36 | 27 |
| FT | 0-2 | 15-17 |
| FT% | 0 | 88 |
| REB | 35 | 38 |
| OR | 12 | 10 |
| DR | 23 | 28 |
| AST | 17 | 18 |
| STL | 2 | 7 |
| BLK | 3 | 2 |
| TO | 14 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 14 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 16 |
| FBPs | 11 | 8 |
| PIP | 28 | 40 |
| PF | 20 | 11 |
| LL | 0 | 31 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock L-MD 64.48–85.16 GTWN · GTWN by 20.7 pts vs L-MD +23.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitS. Emenalo · L-MD
28 MIN · 7 PTSC. Williams · GTWN
24 MIN · 6 PTSJaland Lowe · GTWN
STAT · 34 MIN · 23 PTS · 9-15 FG · 5-8 3PTVince Iwuchukwu · GTWN
STAT · 23 MIN · 21 PTS · 6-8 FG · 0-1 3PTElmarko Jackson · GTWN
STAT · 26 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-1 3PTLeo Ricketts · L-MD
STAT · 22 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Loyola MD vs Georgetown pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is L-MD +23.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day