NCAABFinalUnited Supermarkets Arena

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Final · ESPN+

Bethune58–76Texas Tech
BethuneTexas Tech
Final

Last shot · Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn makes layup

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
0-2 · L4
284 PF · 342 PA
58
Final
Final
Texas Tech Red Raiders
2-0 · W4
324 PF · 215 PA
76
BCU 1%TTU 99%

At lock: projected BCU 61.48–87.82 TTU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 6:30 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1155897763

Winner called · off by 16
Most typical sim
BCU 62 – TTU 88
Final
BCU 58 – TTU 76
  • Winner: Texas Tech (99%)
  • Spread: BCU +29.5 covers (61%)
  • Total: Under 149.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)16

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

BCU 61.48–87.82 TTU · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    TTU +20.1 off · BCU +16.6 off, shrunk 11%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to TTU
  • Record
    TTU 2-0 · BCU 0-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 85% toward TTU -30.5 / total 149.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
BCU243458
TTU373976

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 5:0449–65

    Connor Teasley makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 5:0450–65

    Connor Teasley makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4053–65

    Jaylen Jones makes 26-foot three point jumper

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1653–68

    Donovan Atwell makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn assists)

  • FT2nd Half 3:5454–68

    Jaylen Jones makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:5455–68

    Jaylen Jones makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:3355–69

    Cruz Davis makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5655–72

    Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn makes 29-foot three point jumper (Donovan Atwell assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:3356–72

    Melian Martinez makes free throw 1 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2356–74

    Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn makes layup

  • TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:5358–74

    Kevin Patton Jr. makes 0-foot tip in layup

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2258–76

    Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn makes layup

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

BCUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
V. Boskovic
F · #34
26104-102-50-152201323
D. Johnson
F · #11
3062-62-30-071500072
IJ Ezuma
F · #15
900-00-00-010100013
J. Morris
G · #1
2281-10-06-861200063
M. Jordan
G · #3
1800-20-10-511020015
Q. Heady
F · #5
1242-40-10-010110012
D. Perez-Rouzan
F · #23
1962-40-12-220000112
M. Martinez
C · #21
1110-10-01-430000121
C
C. Teasley
G · #30
26112-71-56-830200032
Ke. Patton Jr.
G · #0
821-50-10-010100101
J. Jones
G · #4
19102-42-44-432200032
J
J. Smith
F · #24
—————————————
K
K. Murphy
G · #10
—————————————
K. Branch
G · #2
—————————————
Ka. Patton
G · #12
—————————————
Team5816-447-2119-32347183172726

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

BCUTTU
FG16-4424-57
FG%3642
3PT7-219-30
3P%3330
FT19-3219-31
FT%5961
REB3441
OR714
DR2727
AST710
STL39
BLK15
TO1811
TTO20
ToTO1811
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO517
FBPs613
PIP1428
PF2625
LL118
LC22
LPCT195
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
BCU +29.5
55%

At lock BCU 61.48–87.82 TTU · TTU by 26.3 pts vs BCU +29.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • V. Boskovic · BCU

    26 MIN · 10 PTS
  • B. Bagayoko · TTU

    20 MIN · 4 PTS
  • Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn · TTU

    STAT · 32 MIN · 25 PTS · 7-14 FG · 3-7 3PT
  • Cruz Davis · TTU

    STAT · 39 MIN · 15 PTS · 3-9 FG · 1-4 3PT
  • Josiah Moseley · TTU

    STAT · 21 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-8 FG · 0-1 3PT
  • Connor Teasley · BCU

    STAT · 26 MIN · 11 PTS · 2-7 FG · 1-5 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Bethune vs Texas Tech pick result · Nov 5, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is BCU +29.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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