Colgate Raiders at St. John's Red Storm
Final · Peacock
59–90Last shot · Isaiah Skinn makes layup
At lock: projected COLG 66.71–92.15 SJU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 4:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2422320877
- Winner: St John's (83%)
- Score error (both teams)20
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
COLG 66.71–92.15 SJU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSJU +4.8 off · COLG -0.4 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SJU
- RecordSJU 3-0 · COLG 0-3
- Market priorBlended 84% toward SJU -28.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 32 | 27 | 59 |
| SJU | 49 | 41 | 90 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 6:4547–82
Keyshawn Hall makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:3249–82
Kingston McKoy makes layup (Josh Ahayere assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:5751–82
Josh Ahayere makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4454–82
Kingston McKoy makes 27-foot three point jumper (Cooper Wright assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:2054–83
Ruben Prey makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2054–84
Ruben Prey makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1356–84
Cooper Wright makes 13-foot turnaround jump shot
- FT2nd Half 2:5056–85
Ruben Prey makes free throw 1 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 1:5356–87
Babacar Sane makes 0-foot tip in dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1256–90
Babacar Sane makes 23-foot three point jumper (Fotis Konstantinidis assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:2157–90
Isaiah Skinn makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1159–90
Isaiah Skinn makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| COLG | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Alekseyenko F · #22 | 25 | 15 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
 S. Wright F · #33 | 20 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
 B. Forrest G · #2 | 21 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Ahayere G · #4 | 26 | 9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
 P. Jones G · #10 | 24 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 A. Odetoyinbo F · #15 | 16 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 C. Brennan F · #9 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Wright F · #23 | 8 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Harrington G · #21 | 21 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. McKoy G · #3 | 21 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Pugh G · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 I. Skinn G · #7 | 12 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 E. Brown F · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Niv G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 59 | 23-61 | 7-27 | 6-11 | 34 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COLG | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-61 | 30-62 |
| FG% | 38 | 48 |
| 3PT | 7-27 | 12-30 |
| 3P% | 26 | 40 |
| FT | 6-11 | 18-23 |
| FT% | 55 | 78 |
| REB | 34 | 39 |
| OR | 13 | 13 |
| DR | 21 | 26 |
| AST | 11 | 20 |
| STL | 8 | 11 |
| BLK | 3 | 4 |
| TO | 19 | 12 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 19 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 7 | 27 |
| FBPs | 6 | 21 |
| PIP | 26 | 32 |
| PF | 16 | 13 |
| LL | 0 | 35 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 92 |
At lock COLG 66.71–92.15 SJU · SJU by 25.4 pts vs COLG +29.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Alekseyenko · COLG
25 MIN · 15 PTSR. Prey · SJU
21 MIN · 11 PTSKeyshawn Hall · SJU
STAT · 24 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-4 3PTIan Jackson · SJU
STAT · 20 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-10 FG · 3-5 3PTTounde Yessoufou · SJU
STAT · 24 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-10 FG · 2-5 3PTLefteris Liotopoulos · SJU
STAT · 14 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-6 FG · 3-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Colgate vs St John's pick result · Nov 11, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is COLG +29.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day