Drexel Dragons at Virginia Cavaliers
Final · ACC Network
60–89Last shot · Latief Lorenzano-White makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (LaDricus Pittman assists)
At lock: projected DREX 57.65–85.21 UVA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 893475111
- Winner: Virginia (99%)
- Spread: DREX +31.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Over 142.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)6
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
DREX 57.65–85.21 UVA · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUVA +0.0 off · DREX +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UVA
- Market priorBlended 86% toward UVA -31.5 / total 142.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DREX | 27 | 33 | 60 |
| UVA | 51 | 38 | 89 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:0149–77
Thijs De Ridder makes driving layup (Nolan Adekunle assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:3249–78
Johann Grunloh makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2849–81
Sam Lewis makes 24-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1749–83
Nolan Adekunle makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:0449–85
Jurian Dixon makes 4-foot dunk
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3651–85
Dillon Tingler makes 10-foot floating jump shot
- FT2nd Half 1:5451–86
Favour Ibe makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2753–86
Latief Lorenzano-White makes layup (LaDricus Pittman assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5656–86
Rickey Paulding III makes 23-foot three point jumper (LaDricus Pittman assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4556–89
Jurian Dixon makes 24-foot three point jumper (Christian Harmon assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3258–89
Dillon Tingler makes 6-foot floating jump shot
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:1660–89
Latief Lorenzano-White makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (LaDricus Pittman assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DREX | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Simonovic F · #4 | 27 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Edomwonyin F · #6 | 18 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 A. Petkovic G · #15 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 L. Lorenzano-White G · #1 | 21 | 11 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Reed G · #5 | 26 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 P. Pagonis F · #99 | 28 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 R. Akuta F · #33 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 R. Paulding III G · #13 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 L. Pittman G · #3 | 21 | 11 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 BJ Brown Jr. G · #2 | 9 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 M. Davis G · #25 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Abram G · #30 | 23 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
 D. Tingler G · #23 | 17 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 M. de LaPorterie F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Hipps G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 60 | 23-58 | 8-25 | 6-7 | 33 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DREX | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-58 | 32-67 |
| FG% | 40 | 48 |
| 3PT | 8-25 | 10-29 |
| 3P% | 32 | 34 |
| FT | 6-7 | 15-19 |
| FT% | 86 | 79 |
| REB | 33 | 42 |
| OR | 7 | 13 |
| DR | 26 | 29 |
| AST | 13 | 17 |
| STL | 8 | 18 |
| BLK | 4 | 3 |
| TO | 21 | 14 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 21 | 14 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 25 |
| FBPs | 7 | 29 |
| PIP | 28 | 44 |
| PF | 18 | 11 |
| LL | 0 | 36 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock DREX 57.65–85.21 UVA · UVA by 27.6 pts vs DREX +31.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitD. Simonovic · DREX
27 MIN · 6 PTSN. Adekunle · UVA
20 MIN · 5 PTSThijs De Ridder · UVA
STAT · 27 MIN · 24 PTS · 9-15 FG · 2-4 3PTSam Lewis · UVA
STAT · 27 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-12 FG · 4-6 3PTLatief Lorenzano-White · DREX
STAT · 21 MIN · 11 PTS · 5-7 FG · 0-2 3PTLaDricus Pittman · DREX
STAT · 21 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-7 FG · 3-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Drexel vs Virginia pick result · Nov 3, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is DREX +31.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day