Virginia Tech Hokies at Iowa Hawkeyes
Final/OT · FS1
93–88
At lock: projected VT 69.06–74.02 IOWA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3766850617
- Winner: Iowa (67%)
- Spread: VT +5.5 covers (51%)
- Total: Over 142.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)38
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
VT 69.06–74.02 IOWA · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIOWA +3.3 off · VT +13.2 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IOWA
- RecordIOWA 2-1 · VT 3-0
- Market priorBlended 70% toward IOWA -3.5 / total 140.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 41 | 38 | 14 | 93 |
| IOWA | 40 | 39 | 9 | 88 |
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| VT | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Heide F · #6 | 10 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 A. Hansberry F · #13 | 40 | 16 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Curry G · #0 | 31 | 25 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 B. Hammond G · #3 | 33 | 32 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 11-11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
 I. Elohim G · #2 | 36 | 12 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
 S. Jones F · #5 | 12 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 K. Atak F · #7 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Sagnia C · #31 | 11 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 S. Davis C · #22 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Johnson G · #10 | 31 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 B. Johnson G · #33 | 15 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Caldarella G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Eltayeb G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Copeland G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Hull G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 93 | 30-56 | 7-18 | 26-33 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 30 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| VT | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 30-56 | 26-52 |
| FG% | 54 | 50 |
| 3PT | 7-18 | 5-18 |
| 3P% | 39 | 28 |
| FT | 26-33 | 31-47 |
| FT% | 79 | 66 |
| REB | 26 | 40 |
| OR | 9 | 18 |
| DR | 17 | 22 |
| AST | 8 | 8 |
| STL | 4 | 6 |
| BLK | 1 | 0 |
| TO | 12 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 12 | 15 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 15 |
| FBPs | 12 | 9 |
| PIP | 40 | 42 |
| PF | 30 | 26 |
| LL | 8 | 5 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 66 | 22 |
At lock VT 69.06–74.02 IOWA · 0.6 pts over 142.5 · 49% is the confidence saved at lock
HitM. Heide · VT
10 MIN · 1 PTSC. Manyawu · IOWA
15 MIN · 5 PTSBen Hammond · VT
STAT · 33 MIN · 32 PTS · 9-16 FG · 3-5 3PTCooper Koch · IOWA
STAT · 45 MIN · 26 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-6 3PTJaylen Curry · VT
STAT · 31 MIN · 25 PTS · 9-18 FG · 2-4 3PTTy'Reek Coleman · IOWA
STAT · 31 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-10 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Virginia Tech vs Iowa pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Over 142.5, with a 49% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day