Dartmouth Big Green at Marist Red Foxes
Final · ESPN+
69–62Last shot · Jadin Collins-Roberts misses 23-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected DART 66.89–72.52 MRST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3420257957
- Winner: Marist (69%)
- Spread: DART +6.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 137.5 (62%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
DART 66.89–72.52 MRST · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseMRST +0.0 off · DART +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MRST
- Market priorBlended 72% toward MRST -7.5 / total 137.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| MRST | 27 | 35 | 62 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:3859–54
Cameron McNamee makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4462–54
Cameron McNamee makes 24-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1262–56
Dywane Chess makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4264–56
Ben Brown makes 11-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1964–59
Myles Parker makes 24-foot three point jumper (Edward Onyia assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:0766–59
Nikola Abusara makes 2-foot dunk (Landon Williams assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3466–60
Dywane Chess makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2767–60
Ernas Valauskas makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2167–61
Dywane Chess makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2167–62
Dywane Chess makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0768–62
Cameron McNamee makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0769–62
Cameron McNamee makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DART | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D D. Civello C · #4 | 13 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 C. Hiatt G · #11 | 22 | 11 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
 L. Williams G · #2 | 24 | 10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 C. McNamee G · #5 | 25 | 12 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
 N. Abusara G · #23 | 23 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 T. Garrett F · #50 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 P. Tivnan Jr. F · #7 | 17 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
 A. Strelnikov C · #10 | 19 | 12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 A. Jimenez G · #15 | 16 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 E. Valauskas G · #13 | 17 | 7 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 B. Brown G · #0 | 18 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
J J. Pollack F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Simango F · #44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 CJ Aldrich III G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 69 | 24-53 | 8-25 | 13-24 | 36 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DART | MRST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-53 | 17-46 |
| FG% | 45 | 37 |
| 3PT | 8-25 | 7-14 |
| 3P% | 32 | 50 |
| FT | 13-24 | 21-26 |
| FT% | 54 | 81 |
| REB | 36 | 30 |
| OR | 10 | 8 |
| DR | 26 | 22 |
| AST | 11 | 12 |
| STL | 11 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 16 | 18 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 16 | 18 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 12 |
| FBPs | 5 | 6 |
| PIP | 32 | 16 |
| PF | 23 | 18 |
| LL | 8 | 9 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 16 | 70 |
At lock DART 66.89–72.52 MRST · MRST by 5.6 pts vs DART +6.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitD. Civello · DART
13 MIN · 6 PTSE. Onyia · MRST
20 MIN · 7 PTSJadin Collins-Roberts · MRST
STAT · 35 MIN · 13 PTS · 1-9 FG · 0-1 3PTMyles Parker · MRST
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-5 FG · 3-5 3PTCameron McNamee · DART
STAT · 25 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-8 FG · 2-4 3PTAnton Strelnikov · DART
STAT · 19 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-6 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Dartmouth vs Marist pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is DART +6.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day