NJIT Highlanders at VCU Rams
Final · ESPN+
49–87Last shot · Rocco Awad misses driving layup
At lock: projected NJIT 59.78–89.40 VCU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 4:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3269112291
- Winner: VCU (79%)
- Score error (both teams)29
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NJIT 59.78–89.40 VCU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseVCU +2.6 off · NJIT -1.0 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to VCU
- RecordVCU 2-1 · NJIT 1-4
- Market priorBlended 84% toward VCU -33.5 / total 149.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJIT | 28 | 21 | 49 |
| VCU | 43 | 44 | 87 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 8:1943–76
Ahmad Nowell makes 29-foot three point jumper (Collin Ross assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:2143–78
Tyrell Ward makes layup (Ahmad Nowell assists)
- FT2nd Half 6:3643–79
Sammy Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 6:3643–80
Sammy Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:1945–80
Victor Vanderstraeten makes layup (Brandon Stores Jr. assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:2545–83
Michael Belle makes 24-foot three point jumper (Nyle Ralph-Beyer assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:0445–84
Tyrell Ward makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0445–85
Tyrell Ward makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:1845–87
Collin Ross makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Stefan Plisnic assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:2146–87
Brendan Oliver makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2147–87
Brendan Oliver makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:3049–87
Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic makes 0-foot tip in dunk
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NJIT | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 V. Vanderstraeten F · #6 | 26 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
 M. Coffi F · #10 | 19 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 M. Tatum Jr. G · #2 | 21 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 D. Bolden G · #1 | 29 | 9 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 B. Stores Jr. G · #12 | 18 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Oliver F · #22 | 11 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Kelly F · #25 | 20 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 S. Jimenez-Vojnic C · #13 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Durrough G · #0 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 R. Awad G · #44 | 21 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Altobelli G · #5 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 Q. Duncan G · #14 | 14 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 Z. Scherler F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 49 | 15-60 | 5-23 | 14-21 | 37 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 26 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NJIT | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 15-60 | 29-59 |
| FG% | 25 | 49 |
| 3PT | 5-23 | 7-25 |
| 3P% | 22 | 28 |
| FT | 14-21 | 22-33 |
| FT% | 67 | 67 |
| REB | 37 | 49 |
| OR | 16 | 16 |
| DR | 21 | 33 |
| AST | 5 | 21 |
| STL | 8 | 7 |
| BLK | 1 | 8 |
| TO | 13 | 10 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 10 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 5 | 14 |
| FBPs | 12 | 6 |
| PIP | 20 | 44 |
| PF | 26 | 20 |
| LL | 2 | 42 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 2 | 93 |
At lock NJIT 59.78–89.40 VCU · VCU by 29.6 pts vs NJIT +34.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock
MissV. Vanderstraeten · NJIT
26 MIN · 10 PTSL. Djokovic · VCU
25 MIN · 15 PTSTorey Alston · VCU
STAT · 19 MIN · 19 PTS · 8-10 FG · 3-3 FTNyk Lewis · VCU
STAT · 28 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-6 FG · 4-6 3PTDavid Bolden · NJIT
STAT · 29 MIN · 9 PTS · 2-9 FG · 2-6 3PTBlake Harper · VCU
STAT · 26 MIN · 8 PTS · 1-6 FG · 0-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
NJIT vs VCU pick result · Nov 11, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NJIT +34.5, with a 59% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day