Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Rhode Island Rams
Final · ESPN+
47–67Last shot · Israel Hall makes layup (Bobby Gardner assists)
At lock: projected UMES 61.11–82.18 URI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 11, 10:54 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1858230457
- Winner: Rhode Island (97%)
- Spread: UMES +24.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Under 143.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)29
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
UMES 61.11–82.18 URI · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseURI +5.1 off · UMES -4.3 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to URI
- RecordURI 4-0 · UMES 1-4
- Market priorBlended 83% toward URI -23.5 / total 136.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 28 | 19 | 47 |
| URI | 32 | 35 | 67 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:4042–54
Bobby Gardner makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:5644–54
Alvin Cole makes layup (Bobby Gardner assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:4944–57
Barrett Loer makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jaen Chatman assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1044–60
Jonah Hinton makes 28-foot three point jumper (Jaen Chatman assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:3845–60
Lucius Gibson-Savadel makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0945–61
Barrett Loer makes free throw 2 of 3
- FT2nd Half 1:2545–62
Mouhamed Sow makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2545–63
Mouhamed Sow makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0345–64
Jalen Harper makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0345–65
Jalen Harper makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2945–67
Jaen Chatman makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1447–67
Israel Hall makes layup (Bobby Gardner assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| UMES | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Cole F · #23 | 34 | 10 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 L. Gibson-Savadel F · #22 | 26 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
 L. Beckwith SF · #24 | 25 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
B B. Gardner G · #2 | 38 | 12 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 I. Griffin G · #4 | 37 | 9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 R. Cummings F · #3 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Ogoh C · #15 | 14 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 V. Ezeh G · #12 | 22 | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 I. Hall G · #0 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 S. Sylla F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Hall-Johnson F · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Tokody F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Berhanu F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Johnson III G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Moore G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 47 | 19-55 | 2-14 | 7-9 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UMES | URI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-55 | 21-57 |
| FG% | 35 | 37 |
| 3PT | 2-14 | 8-28 |
| 3P% | 14 | 29 |
| FT | 7-9 | 17-20 |
| FT% | 78 | 85 |
| REB | 30 | 43 |
| OR | 8 | 15 |
| DR | 22 | 28 |
| AST | 8 | 12 |
| STL | 3 | 6 |
| BLK | 5 | 2 |
| TO | 9 | 7 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 7 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 12 |
| FBPs | 4 | 16 |
| PIP | 24 | 26 |
| PF | 18 | 10 |
| LL | 6 | 22 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 18 | 77 |
At lock UMES 61.11–82.18 URI · URI by 21.1 pts vs UMES +24.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Cole · UMES
34 MIN · 10 PTSM. Deniusas · URI
29 MIN · 16 PTSDylan Williamson · URI
STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-10 FG · 4-6 3PTBobby Gardner · UMES
STAT · 38 MIN · 12 PTS · 6-18 FG · 0-4 3PTIsaiah Griffin · UMES
STAT · 37 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-6 FG · 1-1 3PTJalen Harper · URI
STAT · 15 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-4 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
MD Eastern vs Rhode Island pick result · Nov 12, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UMES +24.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day