Cal State Northridge Matadors at Wichita State Shockers
Final · ESPN+
67–79Last shot · Josiah Davis makes driving layup
At lock: projected CSUN 74.21–87.15 WICH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 3, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2397253285
- Winner: Wichita St (87%)
- Spread: CSUN +14.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 161.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)15
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CSUN 74.21–87.15 WICH · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWICH +0.0 off · CSUN +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WICH
- Market priorBlended 86% toward WICH -15.5 / total 162.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 40 | 27 | 67 |
| WICH | 47 | 32 | 79 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1162–69
Jordan Frison makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 3:5363–69
Mikah Ballew makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1363–71
Bryce Heard makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:3563–72
Bryce Heard makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2365–72
Josiah Davis makes 3-foot hook shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4265–74
Kenyon Giles makes 7-foot step back jumpshot
- FT2nd Half 1:0165–75
William Berg makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0165–76
William Berg makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4365–77
Michael Gray Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4365–78
Michael Gray Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3265–79
Jahari Long makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2367–79
Josiah Davis makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Martin F · #8 | 26 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 BJ Omot F · #20 | 31 | 7 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 M. Ballew G · #2 | 34 | 17 | 6-12 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 J. Davis G · #4 | 35 | 15 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Hicks G · #44 | 27 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
 E. Stephen C · #34 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 L. Niang C · #22 | 8 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
 D. Culberson G · #7 | 7 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 C. Smith G · #1 | 10 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
 K. Ekissi G · #24 | 15 | 11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
 J. Hare G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Kirksey G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 O. Dahan G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 G. Gazarian G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Barbee G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Q. Webb G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 67 | 24-66 | 5-21 | 14-23 | 48 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CSUN | WICH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-66 | 28-75 |
| FG% | 36 | 37 |
| 3PT | 5-21 | 8-27 |
| 3P% | 24 | 30 |
| FT | 14-23 | 15-22 |
| FT% | 61 | 68 |
| REB | 48 | 46 |
| OR | 12 | 13 |
| DR | 36 | 33 |
| AST | 9 | 17 |
| STL | 1 | 6 |
| BLK | 6 | 4 |
| TO | 11 | 3 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 11 | 3 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 6 | 12 |
| FBPs | 0 | 6 |
| PIP | 30 | 38 |
| PF | 19 | 17 |
| LL | 2 | 14 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 2 | 92 |
At lock CSUN 74.21–87.15 WICH · WICH by 12.9 pts vs CSUN +14.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Martin · CSUN
26 MIN · 5 PTSW. Berg · WICH
28 MIN · 26 PTSKenyon Giles · WICH
STAT · 36 MIN · 21 PTS · 8-23 FG · 4-13 3PTMikah Ballew · CSUN
STAT · 34 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-12 FG · 1-7 3PTJosiah Davis · CSUN
STAT · 35 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-18 FG · 3-4 FTJahari Long · WICH
STAT · 33 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-10 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
CSU Northridge vs Wichita St pick result · Nov 4, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CSUN +14.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day