NCAABFinalBartow Arena

Florida A&M Rattlers at UAB Blazers

Final · ESPN+

Florida A&M64–92UAB
Florida A&MUAB
Final

Last shot · Jayden Joseph makes 25-foot three point jumper

Florida A&M Rattlers
0-3 · L4
268 PF · 366 PA
64
Final
Final
UAB Blazers
2-1 · L1
308 PF · 297 PA
92
FAMU 7%UAB 93%

At lock: projected FAMU 70.18–86.86 UAB

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 9:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2128958476

Winner called · off by 11
Most typical sim
FAMU 70 – UAB 87
Final
FAMU 64 – UAB 92
  • Winner: UAB (93%)
  • Spread: FAMU +18.5 covers (56%)
  • Total: Over 156.5 (54%)
  • Score error (both teams)11

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

FAMU 70.18–86.86 UAB · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    UAB +7.2 off · FAMU +5.0 off, shrunk 20%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to UAB
  • Record
    UAB 2-1 · FAMU 0-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 84% toward UAB -18.5 / total 154.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
FAMU273764
UAB474592

Scoring plays

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5156–78

    Jaden Kempson makes 16-foot step back jumpshot

  • FT2nd Half 4:0256–79

    Deuce Jones makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 4:0256–80

    Deuce Jones makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:4357–80

    Jaden Kempson makes free throw 2 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:0357–82

    Jeremy Elyzee makes 3-foot dunk (Elijah Duval assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3859–82

    Daisean Williford makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2959–84

    T.J. Caldwell makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4859–87

    Tim Holliday makes 26-foot three point jumper (Elijah Duval assists)

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 1:1861–87

    Jaden Kempson makes 1-foot dunk (Ashton Williams assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0461–89

    Elijah Duval makes layup

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3861–92

    Tim Holliday makes 28-foot three point jumper (Korie Corbett assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3064–92

    Jayden Joseph makes 25-foot three point jumper

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

FAMUMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
D. Williford
F · #8
33114-111-52-240100041
J. Mokweza
C · #21
942-30-00-050000142
J. Kempson
G · #11
342410-190-44-873200253
J. Joseph
G · #3
34103-73-61-423410021
R. Martino Jr.
G · #00
1931-41-10-011200014
B. Ndour
F · #45
1500-00-00-030101032
M. Stijovic
F · #15
931-31-30-320002022
T. Onuoha
F · #55
910-10-01-210000010
A. Mbaye
C · #22
1542-20-00-420100111
C. Davis
G · #2
2142-60-30-021120110
A. Williams
G · #12
200-00-00-011000010
J. Lomicka
F · #6
—————————————
A. Montes
G · #16
—————————————
A. Baker Jr.
G · #1
—————————————
J. Sanders
G · #5
—————————————
Team6425-566-228-23339133372616

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

FAMUUAB
FG25-5631-75
FG%4541
3PT6-2212-24
3P%2750
FT8-2318-21
FT%3586
REB3349
OR719
DR2630
AST919
STL37
BLK34
TO138
TTO10
ToTO138
TECH01
TECH01
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO425
FBPs513
PIP2830
PF1616
LL231
LC22
LPCT196
Computer pick · Spread
FAMU +18.5
53%

At lock FAMU 70.18–86.86 UAB · UAB by 16.7 pts vs FAMU +18.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • D. Williford · FAMU

    33 MIN · 11 PTS
  • M. Mbole · UAB

    12 MIN · 0-2 FG
  • Jaden Kempson · FAMU

    STAT · 34 MIN · 24 PTS · 10-19 FG · 0-4 3PT
  • Justyn Fernandez · UAB

    STAT · 23 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-10 FG · 2-4 3PT
  • Deuce Jones · UAB

    STAT · 26 MIN · 20 PTS · 5-12 FG · 2-4 3PT
  • Salim London · UAB

    STAT · 23 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-5 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Florida A&M vs UAB pick result · Nov 9, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is FAMU +18.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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