NCAABFinal/2OTSchollmaier Arena

UL Monroe Warhawks at TCU Horned Frogs

Final/2OT · ESPN+

92–100

UL MonroeTCU

Final

Last shot · Tanner Toolson misses free throw 2 of 2

UL Monroe Warhawks

1-3 · L4

450 PF · 526 PA

Final

Final/2OT

TCU Horned Frogs

3-0 · W4

380 PF · 269 PA

100

ULM 1%TCU 99%

At lock: projected ULM 65.70–94.49 TCU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 2:19 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1371471766

Winner called · off by 30

Most typical sim

ULM 66 – TCU 96

Final

ULM 92 – TCU 100

Winner: TCU (100%)
Spread: ULM +33.5 covers (59%)
Total: Over 160.5 (58%)
Score error (both teams)30

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

ULM 65.70–94.49 TCU · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

Attack / defense
TCU +14.6 off · ULM +12.5 off, shrunk 20%
Home field
+3.4 pts to TCU
Record
TCU 3-0 · ULM 1-3
Market prior
Blended 84% toward TCU -33.5 / total 160.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
ULM	32	51	4	5	92
TCU	41	42	4	13	100

Scoring plays

JUMPSHOT2OT 3:2789–90
Xavier Edmonds makes 9-foot hook shot
LAYUPSHOT2OT 2:5689–92
Micah Robinson makes driving layup (Brock Harding assists)
FT2OT 1:4089–93
DJ Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2
FT2OT 1:4089–94
DJ Thomas makes free throw 2 of 2
FT2OT 1:2589–95
Gavin Sykes makes free throw 2 of 2
FT2OT 1:2589–96
Gavin Sykes makes free throw 1 of 2
FT2OT 1:2589–97
Gavin Sykes makes free throw 2 of 2
FT2OT 1:0789–98
Brock Harding makes free throw 1 of 2
FT2OT 1:0789–99
Brock Harding makes free throw 2 of 2
LAYUPSHOT2OT 0:5291–99
Lance Carr makes layup
FT2OT 0:5292–99
Lance Carr makes free throw 1 of 1
FT2OT 0:3192–100
Tanner Toolson makes free throw 1 of 2

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

ULM	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF
L. Carr F · #5	40	13	4-6	0-0	5-7	14	2	0	2	4	3	11	2
Z. Ndancky C · #11	17	7	2-5	1-2	2-4	5	0	3	1	0	2	3	5
P. Tillman G · #2	32	12	5-7	0-1	2-2	3	2	3	0	1	1	2	5
D. Anderson G · #1	47	20	8-17	4-11	0-0	13	5	8	0	1	0	13	4
Q. McPherson G · #0	24	14	6-13	1-4	1-1	2	1	4	0	0	1	1	2
G. Schoentgen F · #20	2	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1
J. Registe F · #9	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Lafleur C · #34	25	7	2-3	0-0	3-5	6	0	1	0	3	2	4	3
C. Nelson G · #7	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. White G · #4	12	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
K. London G · #3	34	16	6-12	4-6	0-0	1	3	4	2	0	1	0	5
R. Cowherd G · #6	17	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2
G. Chamberlain F · #8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Adonry C · #10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
C. Campbell G · #13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team		92	34-66	11-27	13-19	48	15	24	6	9	13	35	31

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	ULM	TCU
FG	34-66	29-76
FG%	52	38
3PT	11-27	10-33
3P%	41	30
FT	13-19	32-46
FT%	68	70
REB	48	37
OR	13	17
DR	35	20
AST	15	20
STL	6	11
BLK	9	4
TO	24	11
TTO	0	0
ToTO	24	11
TECH	2	0
TECH	2	0
FLAG	0	0
PTS OFF TO	10	29
FBPs	6	12
PIP	40	34
PF	31	16
LL	4	10
LC	23	23
LPCT	29	49

Computer pick · SpreadStrong play

ULM +33.5

58%

At lock ULM 65.70–94.49 TCU · TCU by 28.8 pts vs ULM +33.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit

Players

L. Carr · ULM
40 MIN · 13 PTS
DJ Thomas · TCU
29 MIN · 10 PTS
Micah Robinson · TCU
STAT · 44 MIN · 27 PTS · 9-17 FG · 2-6 3PT
Dayjaun Anderson · ULM
STAT · 47 MIN · 20 PTS · 8-17 FG · 4-11 3PT
Xavier Edmonds · TCU
STAT · 37 MIN · 17 PTS · 4-12 FG · 1-5 3PT
Khalil London · ULM
STAT · 34 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-12 FG · 4-6 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

UL Monroe vs TCU pick result · Nov 10, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is ULM +33.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day