Bellarmine Knights at Indiana Hoosiers
Final · Peacock
69–92Last shot · Drew Snively misses 24-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected BELL 65.14–88.22 IU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 4, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 514231783
- Winner: Indiana (63%)
- Score error (both teams)19
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BELL 65.14–88.22 IU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIU +21.9 off · BELL +22.9 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IU
- RecordIU 2-0 · BELL 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward IU -30.5 / total 153.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| IU | 50 | 42 | 92 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:4158–84
Sam Donald makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4159–84
Sam Donald makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0459–86
Clemens Sokolov makes layup (Trevor Manhertz assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5061–86
Grant Neal makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:2261–87
Clemens Sokolov makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2261–88
Clemens Sokolov makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1064–88
Mason Darrell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Grant Neal assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5164–90
Clemens Sokolov makes layup
- FT2nd Half 1:3365–90
Mason Darrell makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3366–90
Mason Darrell makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5466–92
Drew Snively makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1769–92
Mason Darrell makes 22-foot three point jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BELL | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Wassler F · #44 | 22 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 S. Donald F · #23 | 32 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 T. Doyle G · #2 | 33 | 12 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 G. Whitaker G · #10 | 15 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 K. Goodin G · #8 | 27 | 9 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 E. Harrell F · #7 | 13 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 B. Klopfenstein F · #33 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Meagher G · #24 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Gizzi G · #11 | 15 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Surratt G · #5 | 19 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 M. Darrell G · #25 | 3 | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Clark G · #0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Neal G · #4 | 12 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 T. Tornatta F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. McAfee F · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Swan G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 69 | 25-52 | 6-18 | 13-20 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BELL | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-52 | 31-62 |
| FG% | 48 | 50 |
| 3PT | 6-18 | 12-34 |
| 3P% | 33 | 35 |
| FT | 13-20 | 18-25 |
| FT% | 65 | 72 |
| REB | 26 | 42 |
| OR | 8 | 18 |
| DR | 18 | 24 |
| AST | 12 | 16 |
| STL | 8 | 3 |
| BLK | 0 | 3 |
| TO | 12 | 12 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 12 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 15 | 20 |
| FBPs | 6 | 13 |
| PIP | 36 | 36 |
| PF | 19 | 17 |
| LL | 0 | 30 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 99 |
At lock BELL 65.14–88.22 IU · IU by 23.1 pts vs BELL +26.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Wassler · BELL
22 MIN · 10 PTSA. Sherrell · IU
23 MIN · 12 PTSDarren Harris · IU
STAT · 22 MIN · 23 PTS · 6-11 FG · 5-10 3PTBryce Lindsay · IU
STAT · 20 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-12 FG · 3-10 3PTTyler Doyle · BELL
STAT · 33 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-10 FG · 0-1 3PTSam Alexis · IU
STAT · 24 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-6 FG · 2-2 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Bellarmine vs Indiana pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BELL +26.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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