NCAABFinalDean E. Smith Center

Wofford Terriers at North Carolina Tar Heels

Final · ACC Network

Wofford70–109North Carolina
WoffordNorth Carolina
Final

Last shot · Cutter Sisk makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot

Wofford Terriers
0-2 · L1
412 PF · 410 PA
70
Final
Final
North Carolina Tar Heels
2-0 · L1
335 PF · 283 PA
109
WOF 4%UNC 96%

At lock: projected WOF 68.20–88.52 UNC

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 4:55 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3811909594

Winner called · off by 22
Most typical sim
WOF 68 – UNC 89
Final
WOF 70 – UNC 109
  • Winner: North Carolina (96%)
  • Spread: WOF +22.5 covers (57%)
  • Total: Over 156.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)22

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

WOF 68.20–88.52 UNC · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    UNC +17.6 off · WOF +29.5 off, shrunk 11%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to UNC
  • Record
    UNC 2-0 · WOF 0-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 85% toward UNC -20.5 / total 155.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
WOF343670
UNC5158109

Scoring plays

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:2460–98

    Cutter Sisk makes 28-foot three point jumper

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:4160–100

    Sayon Keita makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Isaiah Denis assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:2962–100

    Cutter Sisk makes layup

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1762–103

    Jaydon Young makes 25-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Denis assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0164–103

    Cutter Sisk makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 3:4264–104

    Jaydon Young makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:2665–104

    Jyi Dawkins makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4065–106

    Evan Smith makes 9-foot jumper

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1967–106

    Cutter Sisk makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 1:1568–106

    Jyi Dawkins makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4568–109

    Angelo Brizzi makes 24-foot three point jumper (Evan Smith assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:2670–109

    Cutter Sisk makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

WOFMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
E. Ramsey
C · #33
1521-40-00-050111233
J. Daniels
G · #10
2121-20-00-133400124
C. Watley
G · #4
2351-70-13-431100033
L. Flynn
G · #2
2793-53-40-060000153
C. Lowe
G · #0
2081-111-95-633200033
C. Sisk
F · #34
222711-182-43-570200253
M. Kalinov
G · #23
800-10-00-000000000
J. Carter
G · #15
742-50-00-020000201
J. Dawkins
G · #11
27133-121-56-861230420
C. Arias
G · #3
3000-40-20-030120211
B. Sumpter
F · #1
—————————————
C. Richards
F · #7
—————————————
J. Price
G · #5
—————————————
D. Miller
G · #92
—————————————
G. Collins
G · #12
—————————————
Team7023-697-2517-244281361172521

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

WOFUNC
FG23-6938-73
FG%3352
3PT7-2510-25
3P%2840
FT17-2423-29
FT%7179
REB4249
OR1714
DR2535
AST818
STL67
BLK15
TO138
TTO00
ToTO138
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG10
PTS OFF TO714
FBPs420
PIP3250
PF2118
LL041
LC00
LPCT099
Computer pick · Spread
WOF +22.5
53%

At lock WOF 68.20–88.52 UNC · UNC by 20.3 pts vs WOF +22.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • E. Ramsey · WOF

    15 MIN · 2 PTS
  • J. Stevenson · UNC

    14 MIN · 10 PTS
  • Cutter Sisk · WOF

    STAT · 22 MIN · 27 PTS · 11-18 FG · 2-4 3PT
  • Terrence Brown · UNC

    STAT · 18 MIN · 21 PTS · 7-11 FG · 1-2 3PT
  • Jaydon Young · UNC

    STAT · 20 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-8 FG · 4-7 3PT
  • Jyi Dawkins · WOF

    STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-12 FG · 1-5 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Wofford vs North Carolina pick result · Nov 6, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is WOF +22.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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