Robert Morris Colonials at Nevada Wolf Pack
Final · MW+
49–86Last shot · Samuel Obenjo misses 6-foot hook shot
At lock: projected RMU 66.63–77.85 NEV
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 330783120
- Winner: Nevada (84%)
- Spread: RMU +12.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 144.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)26
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RMU 66.63–77.85 NEV · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseNEV +0.0 off · RMU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to NEV
- Market priorBlended 86% toward NEV -13.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RMU | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| NEV | 41 | 45 | 86 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:2541–76
Elijah Price makes layup (Vaughn Weems assists)
- FT2nd Half 6:1342–76
KJ Garris Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 6:1343–76
KJ Garris Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 5:1143–78
Vaughn Weems makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:1943–80
Kade Snyder makes layup (Myles Walker assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:4543–81
SJ Madison makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4344–81
Eddie Cooke III makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4345–81
Eddie Cooke III makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5445–83
Myles Walker makes 13-foot floating jump shot (SJ Madison assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2847–83
Will Occomy makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0049–83
Samuel Obenjo makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4749–86
TJ Coulter makes 25-foot three point jumper (Myles Walker assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| RMU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Dunkley F · #11 | 18 | 8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 KC Ugwuakazi F · #23 | 15 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Livingston G · #12 | 30 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 KJ Garris Jr. G · #22 | 30 | 16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
 A. Valentine G · #1 | 28 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 S. Obenjo F · #13 | 25 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
 M. Parlow G · #8 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 W. Occomy G · #4 | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 E. Cooke III G · #5 | 22 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
 T. Smith G · #3 | 22 | 9 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 B. Oderinlo F · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Stolbetskiy F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Donovan G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Bozhinovski G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Sloane G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 49 | 13-49 | 3-18 | 20-23 | 32 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RMU | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 13-49 | 32-68 |
| FG% | 27 | 47 |
| 3PT | 3-18 | 8-26 |
| 3P% | 17 | 31 |
| FT | 20-23 | 14-23 |
| FT% | 87 | 61 |
| REB | 32 | 47 |
| OR | 11 | 21 |
| DR | 21 | 26 |
| AST | 6 | 22 |
| STL | 2 | 8 |
| BLK | 3 | 2 |
| TO | 19 | 8 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 19 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 5 | 24 |
| FBPs | 2 | 14 |
| PIP | 16 | 46 |
| PF | 23 | 20 |
| LL | 3 | 38 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 3 | 91 |
At lock RMU 66.63–77.85 NEV · NEV by 11.2 pts vs RMU +12.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissJ. Dunkley · RMU
18 MIN · 8 PTSE. Price · NEV
20 MIN · 19 PTSKJ Garris Jr. · RMU
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 3-8 FG · 1-2 3PTTJ Coulter · NEV
STAT · 22 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-12 FG · 4-8 3PTVaughn Weems · NEV
STAT · 21 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-13 FG · 1-2 3PTStyles Phipps · NEV
STAT · 24 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-9 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Robert Morris vs Nevada pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is RMU +12.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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