Texas Southern Tigers at Grand Canyon Lopes
Final · MW+
79–103Last shot · Kehlin Farooq makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected TXSO 60.61–85.59 GCU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1185298229
- Winner: Grand Canyon (99%)
- Spread: TXSO +28.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Under 146.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)35
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
TXSO 60.61–85.59 GCU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGCU +0.0 off · TXSO +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GCU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward GCU -28.5 / total 144.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| GCU | 48 | 55 | 103 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:2472–92
Karris Bilal makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:2473–92
Karris Bilal makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2775–92
Ben Vungo makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5975–94
Dylan Darling makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2375–96
Jaden Henley makes layup (Dylan Darling assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:2375–97
Jaden Henley makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5477–97
Ahmed Nedal makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3377–99
Jaden Henley makes 7-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 1:3377–100
Jaden Henley makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0577–103
Blake Barkley makes 24-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:0778–103
Kehlin Farooq makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0779–103
Kehlin Farooq makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| TXSO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Akpovwa F · #35 | 10 | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
 J. Kimbrough G · #1 | 30 | 14 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 B. Vungo G · #5 | 26 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
 K. Bilal G · #3 | 25 | 15 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 K. Farooq G · #32 | 37 | 6 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
 X. Wedlow F · #9 | 15 | 13 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
T T. Lewis G · #12 | 12 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
S S. Sayed G · #2 | 12 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
A A. Nedal G · #9 | 18 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
 C. Patterson G · #11 | 15 | 7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
A A. Andrews F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Farmer F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
J J. Gorecki C · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
J J. Walton G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Hamilton G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 79 | 25-59 | 4-16 | 25-40 | 31 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 32 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| TXSO | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-59 | 33-65 |
| FG% | 42 | 51 |
| 3PT | 4-16 | 11-34 |
| 3P% | 25 | 32 |
| FT | 25-40 | 26-41 |
| FT% | 63 | 63 |
| REB | 31 | 47 |
| OR | 12 | 18 |
| DR | 19 | 29 |
| AST | 11 | 23 |
| STL | 10 | 5 |
| BLK | 2 | 5 |
| TO | 14 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 15 |
| TECH | 2 | 2 |
| TECH | 2 | 2 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 17 |
| FBPs | 6 | 17 |
| PIP | 38 | 38 |
| PF | 32 | 24 |
| LL | 2 | 26 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 4 | 89 |
At lock TXSO 60.61–85.59 GCU · GCU by 25.0 pts vs TXSO +28.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Akpovwa · TXSO
10 MIN · 7 PTST. Behrend · GCU
15 MIN · 6 PTSJaden Henley · GCU
STAT · 21 MIN · 22 PTS · 6-11 FG · 1-5 3PTKarris Bilal · TXSO
STAT · 25 MIN · 15 PTS · 3-15 FG · 0-3 3PTDylan Darling · GCU
STAT · 28 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-8 FG · 2-5 3PTJason Kimbrough · TXSO
STAT · 30 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Texas Southern vs Grand Canyon pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is TXSO +28.5, with a 56% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day