Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Grand Canyon Lopes
Final · MW+
81–99Last shot · Daniel Johnson makes 1-foot dunk (Kevin Patton Jr. assists)
At lock: projected BCU 67.73–88.21 GCU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 12:42 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3130810485
- Winner: Grand Canyon (97%)
- Spread: BCU +22.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 155.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)24
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BCU 67.73–88.21 GCU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGCU +24.8 off · BCU +4.9 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GCU
- RecordGCU 2-0 · BCU 0-3
- Market priorBlended 85% toward GCU -23.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCU | 43 | 38 | 81 |
| GCU | 56 | 43 | 99 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:3873–88
Dylan Darling makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3873–89
Dylan Darling makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0873–91
Jaden Henley makes layup (Amarion Dickerson assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:1573–92
Jaden Henley makes free throw 1 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 2:3175–92
Jaylen Jones makes 0-foot tip in layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:1975–94
Jaden Henley makes 3-foot dunk (Tre Holloman assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4877–94
Daniel Johnson makes layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:5977–96
Tyler Behrend makes 2-foot dunk (Tre Holloman assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:5278–96
Jaylen Jones makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5279–96
Jaylen Jones makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4079–99
Jaden Zimmerman makes 24-foot three point jumper (Micah Tucker assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:2081–99
Daniel Johnson makes 1-foot dunk (Kevin Patton Jr. assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BCU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 V. Boskovic F · #34 | 19 | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 D. Johnson F · #11 | 8 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 D. Perez-Rouzan F · #23 | 18 | 12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 J. Morris G · #1 | 13 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Jordan G · #3 | 15 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 Q. Heady F · #5 | 29 | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 IJ Ezuma F · #15 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 M. Martinez C · #21 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
C C. Teasley G · #30 | 25 | 15 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
 Ke. Patton Jr. G · #0 | 35 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
 J. Jones G · #4 | 27 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
J J. Smith F · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
K K. Murphy G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Branch G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Ka. Patton G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 81 | 26-55 | 6-18 | 23-32 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 29 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BCU | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 26-55 | 33-64 |
| FG% | 47 | 52 |
| 3PT | 6-18 | 6-19 |
| 3P% | 33 | 32 |
| FT | 23-32 | 27-36 |
| FT% | 72 | 75 |
| REB | 30 | 34 |
| OR | 6 | 11 |
| DR | 24 | 23 |
| AST | 12 | 19 |
| STL | 5 | 12 |
| BLK | 2 | 2 |
| TO | 18 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 18 | 12 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 22 |
| FBPs | 11 | 19 |
| PIP | 34 | 54 |
| PF | 29 | 24 |
| LL | 0 | 20 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock BCU 67.73–88.21 GCU · GCU by 20.5 pts vs BCU +22.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitV. Boskovic · BCU
19 MIN · 7 PTSB. Barkley · GCU
13 MIN · 0-0 FGJaden Henley · GCU
STAT · 30 MIN · 21 PTS · 6-13 FG · 2-5 3PTMakaih Williams · GCU
STAT · 30 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-12 FG · 1-5 3PTAmarion Dickerson · GCU
STAT · 22 MIN · 17 PTS · 7-8 FG · 1-2 3PTQuentin Heady · BCU
STAT · 29 MIN · 15 PTS · 3-7 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Bethune vs Grand Canyon pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is BCU +22.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day