Elon Phoenix at George Washington Revolutionaries
Final · ESPN+
50–69Last shot · Korbin Dixon misses free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected ELON 67.86–81.30 GW
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3005872466
- Winner: G Washington (88%)
- Spread: ELON +14.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Over 148.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)30
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ELON 67.86–81.30 GW · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseGW +11.7 off · ELON +9.4 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to GW
- RecordGW 3-0 · ELON 2-1
- Market priorBlended 70% toward GW -13.5 / total 147.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELON | 22 | 28 | 50 |
| GW | 23 | 46 | 69 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5440–58
Lovro Urbiha makes layup (Felix Kossaras assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:5440–59
Lovro Urbiha makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:2542–59
Raúl Villar makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0942–61
Jean Aranguren makes layup
- FT2nd Half 3:5843–61
Josh Dalton makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5844–61
Josh Dalton makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3446–61
Randall Pettus II makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1946–64
Felix Kossaras makes 24-foot three point jumper (Dylan James assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4946–66
Promis N'Landu makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1246–69
Ryder Frost makes 23-foot three point jumper (Malachi Arrington assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:5149–69
Isaiah Mbeng makes 26-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:1950–69
Korbin Dixon makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ELON | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Dalton F · #1 | 31 | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
 H. Harding C · #13 | 19 | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
 R. Villar G · #44 | 27 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 B. Cokley G · #0 | 24 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 R. Pettus II G · #2 | 25 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Zhu F · #22 | 9 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 I. Garmendia F · #4 | 15 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
 D. Petty G · #6 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. Dixon G · #3 | 13 | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 I. Mbeng G · #8 | 21 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Thrower G · #5 | 12 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 B. Sehlhorst F · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Olander F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Šarenac F · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Safran G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Brabec G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 50 | 14-53 | 5-20 | 17-23 | 39 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ELON | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 14-53 | 23-58 |
| FG% | 26 | 40 |
| 3PT | 5-20 | 5-18 |
| 3P% | 25 | 28 |
| FT | 17-23 | 18-25 |
| FT% | 74 | 72 |
| REB | 39 | 43 |
| OR | 13 | 13 |
| DR | 26 | 30 |
| AST | 6 | 10 |
| STL | 7 | 8 |
| BLK | 5 | 5 |
| TO | 16 | 12 |
| TTO | 3 | 3 |
| ToTO | 16 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 20 |
| FBPs | 13 | 5 |
| PIP | 18 | 34 |
| PF | 19 | 18 |
| LL | 3 | 23 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 9 | 85 |
At lock ELON 67.86–81.30 GW · GW by 13.4 pts vs ELON +14.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissJ. Dalton · ELON
31 MIN · 15 PTSL. Urbiha · GW
26 MIN · 13 PTSDylan James · GW
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 6-9 FG · 13 REBJean Aranguren · GW
STAT · 23 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-7 FG · 0-1 3PTPromis N'Landu · GW
STAT · 19 MIN · 10 PTS · 3-5 FG · 0-1 3PTHunter Harding · ELON
STAT · 19 MIN · 8 PTS · 2-6 FG · 4-4 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Elon vs G Washington pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ELON +14.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day