Miami (OH) RedHawks at James Madison Dukes
Final · ESPN+
86–77Last shot · Stevie Elam makes 3-foot dunk (Luke Skaljac assists)
At lock: projected M-OH 75.17–77.20 JMU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1632262413
- Winner: James Madison (57%)
- Spread: JMU -1.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 155.5 (65%)
- Score error (both teams)11
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
M-OH 75.17–77.20 JMU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseJMU +0.0 off · M-OH +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to JMU
- Market priorBlended 72% toward JMU -1.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 35 | 51 | 86 |
| JMU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2977–65
Antwone Woolfolk makes layup (Evan Ipsaro assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:1677–67
K.J. Windham makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:5878–67
Luke Skaljac makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:5879–67
Luke Skaljac makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4979–68
K.J. Windham makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3479–71
K.J. Windham makes 29-foot three pointer
- FT2nd Half 2:2280–71
Evan Ipsaro makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2281–71
Evan Ipsaro makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0184–71
Almar Atlason makes 28-foot three point jumper (Evan Ipsaro assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0584–74
Adrian Myers makes 27-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3984–77
Gage Lattimore makes 26-foot three point jumper (Adrian Myers assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:3286–77
Stevie Elam makes 3-foot dunk (Luke Skaljac assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Atlason F · #11 | 31 | 10 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 A. Woolfolk F · #13 | 25 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
J J. Kirby G · #6 | 25 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
 E. Ipsaro G · #2 | 27 | 15 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 L. Skaljac G · #3 | 32 | 19 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
A A. Horton F · #00 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
K K. Waltz F · #25 | 21 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
T T. Robbins F · #20 | 11 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
L L. Stowers G · #21 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Elam G · #8 | 21 | 13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
D D. Kelly F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 P. Copeland F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Wright F · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Kotecki F · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Rolf F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
A A. Fresh G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Anderson G · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 86 | 31-68 | 8-24 | 16-17 | 44 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| M-OH | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 31-68 | 27-70 |
| FG% | 46 | 39 |
| 3PT | 8-24 | 14-34 |
| 3P% | 33 | 41 |
| FT | 16-17 | 9-16 |
| FT% | 94 | 56 |
| REB | 44 | 39 |
| OR | 13 | 16 |
| DR | 31 | 23 |
| AST | 15 | 13 |
| STL | 10 | 6 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 11 | 12 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 11 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 20 | 13 |
| FBPs | 18 | 5 |
| PIP | 46 | 24 |
| PF | 16 | 19 |
| LL | 13 | 9 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 46 | 46 |
At lock M-OH 75.17–77.20 JMU · 3.1 pts under 155.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissA. Atlason · M-OH
31 MIN · 10 PTSP. Fowler · JMU
24 MIN · 3 PTSLuke Skaljac · M-OH
STAT · 32 MIN · 19 PTS · 5-14 FG · 3-6 3PTEvan Ipsaro · M-OH
STAT · 27 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-13 FG · 2-6 3PTPaul Jones III · JMU
STAT · 22 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-7 FG · 3-6 3PTStevie Elam · M-OH
STAT · 21 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-8 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Miami OH vs James Madison pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 155.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day