Western Michigan Broncos at Old Dominion Monarchs
Final · ESPN+
49–61Last shot · Tanner Hayhurst makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Washington Jr. assists)
At lock: projected WMU 76.97–76.84 ODU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 305429693
- Winner: W Michigan (50%)
- Spread: ODU +1.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Under 157.5 (68%)
- Score error (both teams)45
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WMU 76.97–76.84 ODU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseODU +0.0 off · WMU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ODU
- Market priorBlended 72% toward WMU -1.5 / total 154.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| ODU | 30 | 31 | 61 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 8:0444–46
Augustinas Kiudulas makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 7:0644–47
Zacch Wiggins makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 7:0644–48
Zacch Wiggins makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:2044–50
Zacch Wiggins makes layup
- FT2nd Half 6:0345–50
Augustinas Kiudulas makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:3545–53
Bubu Benjamin makes 25-foot three point jumper (Khoi Thurmon assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3645–55
Zacch Wiggins makes driving layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:5445–57
Bubu Benjamin makes 3-foot dunk
- FT2nd Half 2:3746–57
Jaylen Washington Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2946–59
Zacch Wiggins makes layup (Khoi Thurmon assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1246–61
Zacch Wiggins makes layup (Khoi Thurmon assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3449–61
Tanner Hayhurst makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Washington Jr. assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WMU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Kiudulas F · #11 | 26 | 12 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 R. Lee Jr. G · #24 | 30 | 8 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Washington Jr. G · #0 | 32 | 9 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
 A. Harakow G · #10 | 23 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 T. Hayhurst G · #3 | 34 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
 J. Eli F · #2 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Jünemann C · #20 | 7 | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 J. Sigmon G · #7 | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Gomez G · #13 | 15 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 M. Bendinger G · #1 | 18 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 D. Watkins F · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Finlinson F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Draper G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Johnson G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 49 | 19-51 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 32 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 15 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WMU | ODU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-51 | 25-56 |
| FG% | 37 | 45 |
| 3PT | 8-20 | 4-15 |
| 3P% | 40 | 27 |
| FT | 3-9 | 7-13 |
| FT% | 33 | 54 |
| REB | 32 | 37 |
| OR | 10 | 12 |
| DR | 22 | 25 |
| AST | 11 | 12 |
| STL | 7 | 10 |
| BLK | 1 | 3 |
| TO | 16 | 10 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 16 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 16 |
| FBPs | 3 | 8 |
| PIP | 16 | 36 |
| PF | 15 | 16 |
| LL | 7 | 15 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 46 | 42 |
At lock WMU 76.97–76.84 ODU · WMU by 0.1 pts vs ODU +1.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Kiudulas · WMU
26 MIN · 12 PTSK. Howze · ODU
19 MIN · 4 PTSZacch Wiggins · ODU
STAT · 37 MIN · 25 PTS · 9-15 FG · 0-4 3PTJaylen Washington · WMU
STAT · 32 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-9 FG · 2-4 3PTBubu Benjamin · ODU
STAT · 24 MIN · 9 PTS · 4-10 FG · 1-3 3PTRob Lee Jr. · WMU
STAT · 30 MIN · 8 PTS · 4-11 FG · 0-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
W Michigan vs Old Dominion pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is ODU +1.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day