Charleston Southern Buccaneers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Final · ACCNX
64–82Last shot · Jackson Crawford misses driving layup
At lock: projected CHSO 69.20–85.12 WAKE
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 5:30 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3274499334
- Winner: Wake Forest (92%)
- Spread: CHSO +18.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Under 154.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)8
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CHSO 69.20–85.12 WAKE · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWAKE +7.9 off · CHSO +10.5 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WAKE
- RecordWAKE 2-1 · CHSO 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward WAKE -18.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 22 | 42 | 64 |
| WAKE | 38 | 44 | 82 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:4753–72
Kevair Kennedy makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:4753–73
Kevair Kennedy makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3655–73
Jackson Crawford makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1755–76
Gavin Placide makes 27-foot three point jumper (Kevair Kennedy assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5858–76
Jefferson McLamb makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jackson Crawford assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3758–78
Gavin Placide makes layup (Jamari McDowell assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:2059–78
Jefferson McLamb makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1059–80
Kevair Kennedy makes 9-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5561–80
Jefferson McLamb makes layup (Mathok Majok assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3561–82
Isaac Carr makes 7-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1563–82
DJ Hubbard makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:4764–82
Jefferson McLamb makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CHSO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Olalere F · #34 | 18 | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
A A. Ruffolo G · #8 | 19 | 8 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
J J. Crawford G · #4 | 26 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
J J. McLamb G · #12 | 32 | 19 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Taylor G · #5 | 35 | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
 M. Majok F · #7 | 22 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
D DJ Hubbard G · #24 | 30 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 N. Errica G · #0 | 18 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
M M. Leslie F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Brafford F · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Deng F · #17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
R R. Brooks G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
A A. Harper G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 64 | 21-45 | 10-23 | 12-18 | 29 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHSO | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-45 | 28-67 |
| FG% | 47 | 42 |
| 3PT | 10-23 | 10-26 |
| 3P% | 43 | 38 |
| FT | 12-18 | 16-21 |
| FT% | 67 | 76 |
| REB | 29 | 35 |
| OR | 6 | 17 |
| DR | 23 | 18 |
| AST | 13 | 13 |
| STL | 7 | 12 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 23 | 10 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 23 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 31 |
| FBPs | 5 | 5 |
| PIP | 22 | 32 |
| PF | 18 | 16 |
| LL | 2 | 29 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 4 | 89 |
At lock CHSO 69.20–85.12 WAKE · WAKE by 15.9 pts vs CHSO +18.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock
HitL. Olalere · CHSO
18 MIN · 9 PTSGav. Placide · WAKE
24 MIN · 14 PTSJefferson McLamb · CHSO
STAT · 32 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-10 FG · 5-8 3PTKevair Kennedy · WAKE
STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-9 FG · 1-2 3PTIsaac Carr · WAKE
STAT · 24 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-8 FG · 1-2 3PTGallagher Placide · WAKE
STAT · 19 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-5 FG · 2-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Charleston So vs Wake Forest pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CHSO +18.5, with a 54% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day