Detroit Mercy Titans at Marquette Golden Eagles
Final · ESPN+
32–93Last shot · Je'kel Cotton misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected DETM 63.28–91.72 MARQ
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3976611756
- Winner: Marquette (99%)
- Spread: DETM +32.5 covers (64%)
- Total: Over 154.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)32
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
DETM 63.28–91.72 MARQ · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseMARQ +9.0 off · DETM +0.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MARQ
- RecordMARQ 2-0 · DETM 0-1
- Market priorBlended 86% toward MARQ -32.5 / total 155.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| MARQ | 41 | 52 | 93 |
Scoring plays
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:1726–75
Alex Egbuonu makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Nigel James Jr. assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 5:5726–77
Royce Parham makes 4-foot alley oop dunk (Nigel James Jr. assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:0628–77
Ayden Carter makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 4:5328–78
Michael Phillips II makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:1928–81
Ian Miletic makes 28-foot three point jumper
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:1328–83
Alex Egbuonu makes 8-foot dunk (Ethan Johnston assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4628–86
Ethan Johnston makes 26-foot three point jumper (Ian Miletic assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2931–86
Lance Stone makes 30-foot three point jumper
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:0831–88
Joshua Clark makes 8-foot alley oop dunk (Ethan Johnston assists)
- FT2nd Half 1:4332–88
James Martin makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3232–91
Alex Egbuonu makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ethan Johnston assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:0832–93
Alex Egbuonu makes 0-foot tip in layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DETM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Maiden F · #20 | 24 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 X. Istomin-Monroe C · #6 | 29 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
 A. Carter G · #7 | 23 | 7 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
 T. Spratt G · #1 | 28 | 8 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 L. Stone G · #11 | 28 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 V. Semerych F · #15 | 14 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Houser F · #9 | 8 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 K. Aldridge Jr. G · #23 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Martin G · #10 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Grays Jr. G · #5 | 9 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 J. Briggs G · #4 | 13 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 J. Cotton G · #2 | 11 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 E. Pálsson G · #8 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Favor F · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Owens F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 32 | 13-59 | 5-28 | 1-2 | 36 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DETM | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 13-59 | 37-77 |
| FG% | 22 | 48 |
| 3PT | 5-28 | 12-39 |
| 3P% | 18 | 31 |
| FT | 1-2 | 7-10 |
| FT% | 50 | 70 |
| REB | 36 | 48 |
| OR | 13 | 17 |
| DR | 23 | 31 |
| AST | 5 | 25 |
| STL | 0 | 12 |
| BLK | 4 | 7 |
| TO | 20 | 3 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 20 | 3 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 2 | 31 |
| FBPs | 5 | 25 |
| PIP | 10 | 46 |
| PF | 11 | 10 |
| LL | 0 | 61 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock DETM 63.28–91.72 MARQ · MARQ by 28.4 pts vs DETM +32.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
MissL. Maiden · DETM
24 MIN · 0-3 FGS. Fru · MARQ
21 MIN · 8 PTSAlex Egbuonu · MARQ
STAT · 16 MIN · 16 PTS · 7-11 FG · 2-6 3PTRoyce Parham · MARQ
STAT · 20 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-10 FG · 0-3 3PTDamarius Owens · MARQ
STAT · 14 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-7 FG · 1-2 3PTAdrien Stevens · MARQ
STAT · 17 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Detroit Mercy vs Marquette pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is DETM +32.5, with a 57% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day