Florida Gulf Coast Eagles at Georgia Bulldogs
Final · SECN+
72–80Last shot · BB Washington misses 25-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected FGCU 70.69–91.19 UGA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 9:01 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1059865289
- Winner: Georgia (97%)
- Spread: FGCU +23.5 covers (60%)
- Total: Over 160.5 (58%)
- Score error (both teams)12
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
FGCU 70.69–91.19 UGA · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUGA +11.3 off · FGCU +12.0 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UGA
- RecordUGA 3-0 · FGCU 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward UGA -21.5 / total 163.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 41 | 31 | 72 |
| UGA | 44 | 36 | 80 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:1763–70
Elijah Brooks makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 7:0663–72
Marcus Millender makes 10-foot step back jumpshot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:3965–72
Elijah Brooks makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:1268–72
Bryson Lucas makes 27-foot three point jumper (Matt McCarthy assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:4768–74
Andrew Osasuyi makes layup
- FT2nd Half 5:1468–75
Marcus Millender makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:1468–76
Marcus Millender makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:4968–77
Kanon Catchings makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:4968–78
Kanon Catchings makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 4:1868–80
Kareem Stagg makes 3-foot dunk (Marcus Millender assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0670–80
Elijah Brooks makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0772–80
BB Washington makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. Lucas F · #5 | 35 | 12 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
 C. Konieczny F · #23 | 21 | 9 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Houser C · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 D. Williams G · #2 | 34 | 22 | 8-18 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 E. Brooks G · #13 | 24 | 14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 K. Wheatley F · #22 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Westercamp F · #0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 G. Tanner F · #3 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 CJ Outlaw F · #45 | 27 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
 T. Brown III G · #1 | 24 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 M. McCarthy G · #4 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 BB Washington G · #8 | 18 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 G. Washington III G · #10 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 E. Barlow F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Guillouette C · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Sermpezis G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 72 | 28-59 | 11-35 | 5-10 | 33 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| FGCU | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 28-59 | 28-61 |
| FG% | 47 | 46 |
| 3PT | 11-35 | 8-25 |
| 3P% | 31 | 32 |
| FT | 5-10 | 16-21 |
| FT% | 50 | 76 |
| REB | 33 | 34 |
| OR | 9 | 12 |
| DR | 24 | 22 |
| AST | 9 | 12 |
| STL | 6 | 4 |
| BLK | 2 | 2 |
| TO | 14 | 7 |
| TTO | 6 | 1 |
| ToTO | 14 | 7 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 15 |
| FBPs | 20 | 22 |
| PIP | 22 | 30 |
| PF | 17 | 14 |
| LL | 6 | 23 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 24 | 66 |
At lock FGCU 70.69–91.19 UGA · UGA by 20.5 pts vs FGCU +23.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitB. Lucas · FGCU
35 MIN · 12 PTSK. Catchings · UGA
25 MIN · 13 PTSDarren Williams · FGCU
STAT · 34 MIN · 22 PTS · 8-18 FG · 4-13 3PTElijah Brooks · FGCU
STAT · 24 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-7 FG · 2-5 FTKareem Stagg · UGA
STAT · 25 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-8 FG · 1-3 3PTMarcus Millender · UGA
STAT · 29 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
FGCU vs Georgia pick result · Nov 9, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is FGCU +23.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day