Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards
Final/2OT · MNMT
144–140Last shot · Tre Johnson misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
At lock: projected DET 116.52–106.35 WSH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 11, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2623093273
- Winner: Pistons (81%)
- Spread: DET -9.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 220.5 (63%)
- Score error (both teams)60
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dybantsa points | — | 17 | 5 | off -12 |
| D. Robinson points | — | 15 | 13 | off -2 |
| C. Cunningham points | — | 23 | 52 | off 29 |
| A. Davis points | — | 22 | 30 | off 8 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: DET vs WSH
The model
How this number was built
DET 116.52–106.35 WSH · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexWSH -4.5 vs DET +3.9 · pred margin -9.4
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -6.6 vs +5.8 · back-to-back: WSH, DET · model WSH 109.2–120.4 DET
- Home field+2.8 pts to WSH
- RecordWSH 4-9 · DET 8-3
- Market priorBlended 66% toward DET -10.5 / total 223.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | OT2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 33 | 31 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 144 |
| WSH | 32 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 11 | 8 | 140 |
Scoring plays
TIP SHOT2OT 3:46137–132Ausar Thompson makes tip shot
FT2OT 3:30137–133Trae Young makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2OT 3:30137–134
Trae Young makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE2OT 2:29139–134
Duncan Robinson makes 1-foot running dunk (Ausar Thompson assists)
- SCORE2OT 2:05139–136
Alex Sarr makes 5-foot two point shot
- FT2OT 1:50140–136
Paul Reed makes free throw 1 of 2
- SCORE2OT 1:14140–138
Bilal Coulibaly makes 2-foot dunk (Trae Young assists)
- SCORE2OT 25.3142–138
Cade Cunningham makes 12-foot fade away jump shot
- FT2OT 15.7142–139
Trae Young makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2OT 15.7142–140
Trae Young makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2OT 11.4143–140
Kevin Huerter makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2OT 11.4144–140
Kevin Huerter makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DET | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Robinson F · #55 | 41 | 13 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 |
 J. Collins F · #20 | 25 | 10 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -18 |
 C. Cunningham G · #2 | 48 | 52 | 16-25 | 3-5 | 17-18 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4 |
 A. Thompson G · #9 | 43 | 17 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
 D. Jenkins G · #24 | 42 | 21 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +6 |
 P. Reed F · #7 | 38 | 13 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +25 |
 R. Holland II F · #5 | 14 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 |
 J. Green G · #31 | 15 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
 K. Huerter G · #27 | 24 | 11 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +10 |
 T. Prince F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Smith F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Jones C · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Harkless G · #94 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 144 | 49-99 | 13-35 | 33-39 | 47 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 25 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DET | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 49-99 | 50-102 |
| FG% | 49 | 49 |
| 3PT | 13-35 | 14-37 |
| 3P% | 37 | 38 |
| FT | 33-39 | 26-29 |
| FT% | 85 | 90 |
| REB | 47 | 50 |
| OR | 13 | 14 |
| DR | 34 | 36 |
| AST | 28 | 33 |
| STL | 10 | 6 |
| BLK | 6 | 6 |
| TO | 11 | 16 |
| TTO | 1 | 2 |
| ToTO | 12 | 18 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 16 | 20 |
| FBPs | 26 | 12 |
| PIP | 52 | 62 |
| PF | 25 | 28 |
| LL | 11 | 10 |
| LC | 20 | 20 |
| LPCT | 64 | 28 |
Model projected DET 116.52 – 106.35 WSH at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.5%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop C. Cunningham · DET
52 PTS · over 23.5D. Robinson · DET
41 MIN · 13 PTSA. Davis · WSH
44 MIN · 30 PTSTrae Young · WSH
STAT · 45 MIN · 37 PTS · 8-23 FG · 4-8 3PTAlex Sarr · WSH
STAT · 44 MIN · 30 PTS · 12-14 FG · 4-6 3PTDaniss Jenkins · DET
STAT · 42 MIN · 21 PTS · 6-11 FG · 3-5 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · C. Cunningham Under 23.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Pistons vs Wizards pick result · Nov 12, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day