Toronto Raptors at LA Clippers
Final · NBA League Pass
125–118Last shot · Kobe Sanders misses 25-foot fade away jump shot
At lock: projected TOR 112.82–108.45 LAC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 1, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 726781041
- Winner: Raptors (64%)
- Spread: LAC +5.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 220.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)21
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Barnes points | — | 18 | 22 | off 4 |
| D. Garland points | — | 20 | 16 | off -4 |
| I. Quickley points | — | 17 | 27 | off 10 |
| B. Ingram points | — | 22 | 0 | off -22 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: TOR vs LAC
The model
How this number was built
TOR 112.82–108.45 LAC · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexLAC -5.1 vs TOR -1.6 · pred margin -5.4
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -0.5 vs +1.6 · back-to-back: LAC, TOR · model LAC 112.5–112.8 TOR
- Home field+2.8 pts to LAC
- RecordLAC 1-6 · TOR 4-3
- Market priorBlended 82% toward TOR -6.5 / total 220.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 22 | 30 | 26 | 47 | 125 |
| LAC | 33 | 30 | 28 | 27 | 118 |
Scoring plays
FT4th Quarter 46.6116–112RJ Barrett makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 42.8117–112
Immanuel Quickley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 42.8118–112
Immanuel Quickley makes free throw 2 of 2
3PT4th Quarter 37.4118–115Kobe Sanders makes 26-foot three pointer (Max Strus assists)
- FT4th Quarter 37.4119–115
Immanuel Quickley makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT4th Quarter 27.2120–115
Immanuel Quickley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 27.2121–115
Immanuel Quickley makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 22.2121–118
Max Strus makes 31-foot three point jumper (Kobe Sanders assists)
- FT4th Quarter 17.6122–118
Scottie Barnes makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 9.3123–118
Scottie Barnes makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 9.3124–118
Scottie Barnes makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 1.3125–118
Scottie Barnes makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| TOR | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. Barrett F · #9 | 37 | 26 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +18 |
 S. Barnes F · #4 | 38 | 22 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 8-15 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | +6 |
 C. Murray-Boyles F · #30 | 28 | 18 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +12 |
 I. Quickley G · #5 | 38 | 27 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +8 |
 J. Walter G · #14 | 35 | 10 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +10 |
 K. Anderson F · #13 | 8 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
 T. Jackson-Davis F · #32 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
 J. Battle F · #77 | 21 | 12 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 |
 A. Graves F · #22 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 |
 J. Shead G · #1 | 20 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 |
 A. Martin G · #55 | 6 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 |
 J. Bradley G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 125 | 43-83 | 8-29 | 31-48 | 41 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 26 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| TOR | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 43-83 | 42-91 |
| FG% | 52 | 46 |
| 3PT | 8-29 | 13-35 |
| 3P% | 28 | 37 |
| FT | 31-48 | 21-27 |
| FT% | 65 | 78 |
| REB | 41 | 38 |
| OR | 13 | 10 |
| DR | 28 | 28 |
| AST | 26 | 29 |
| STL | 6 | 6 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 13 | 14 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 13 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 15 | 21 |
| FBPs | 12 | 15 |
| PIP | 62 | 54 |
| PF | 26 | 34 |
| LL | 7 | 16 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 4 | 94 |
At lock TOR 112.82–108.45 LAC · TOR by 4.4 pts vs LAC +5.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissProp R. Hachimura · LAC
0 · needs 17.5 moreR. Barrett · TOR
37 MIN · 26 PTSB. Lopez · LAC
22 MIN · 12 PTSImmanuel Quickley · TOR
STAT · 38 MIN · 27 PTS · 8-13 FG · 1-4 3PTKobe Sanders · LAC
STAT · 38 MIN · 26 PTS · 8-17 FG · 5-11 3PTScottie Barnes · TOR
STAT · 38 MIN · 22 PTS · 7-15 FG · 0-3 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · R. Hachimura Over 17.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Raptors vs Clippers pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LAC +5.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day