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PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBANO98DAL9140.8NBACHI121MIL1001:52NBADET126MIN1041:23MLBMIL5LAD2Top 8thNCAAFKENN21MOST21Q4 6:00NCAAFWKU13SHSU3Q3 0:03NHLDAL1COL118:40MLSPHI3CHI190'+4'MLSSEA0DAL190'+7'MLSVAN0STL090'+2'MLSMIN0COL1HTMLSSJ0RSL0HTNBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 8:20 PM EDTLambeau Field

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers

10/18 - 8:20 PM EDT · NBC

Computer pick · Total
Under 53.5
57%

DAL 25.87–27.19 GB

Data-Driven Pick · M. Lloyd Over 40.5 rush yds

-110
Dallas Cowboys
2-3 · L1
138 PF · 136 PA
25.87
Projected
Green Bay Packers
3-2 · W2
104 PF · 112 PA
27.19
DAL 46%GB 54%

Projected DAL 25.87–27.19 GB

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

DAL 25.87–27.19 GB · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    GB +0.7 vs DAL +2.4 · pred margin +1.3
  • Attack / defense
    GB -0.6 off · DAL +2.2 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to GB
  • Record
    GB 3-2 · DAL 2-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward GB -1.5 / total 53.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Dak Prescott
    Pass 129/192, 1381 YDS, 9 TD, 3 INT
  • Javonte Williams
    Rush 74 CAR, 276 YDS, 6 TD
  • CeeDee Lamb
    Rec 39 REC, 507 YDS, 4 TD
  • Jordan Love
    Pass 112/185, 1408 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
  • MarShawn Lloyd
    Rush 40 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
  • Christian Watson
    Rec 26 REC, 474 YDS, 6 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

DALGB
Points Per Game27.620.8
Total Yards357.8342.0
Yards Passing276.2281.6
Yards Rushing81.660.4
Points Allowed Per Game27.222.4
Yards Allowed400.2327.0
Pass Yards Allowed231.8199.4
Rush Yards Allowed168.4127.6

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Data-Driven PickComputer pick

M. Lloyd Over 40.5 rush yds

-11069%

Rushing yards · DraftKings

  • C. Lamb Under 80.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · DAL
    -110
    66%
  • J. Love anytime TD
    Anytime TD · GB
    -110
    65%
  • C. Watson anytime TD
    Anytime TD · GB
    -110
    65%
  • M. Lloyd anytime TD
    Anytime TD · GB
    -110
    65%
  • D. Prescott Under 288.5 pass+rush yds
    Pass + rush yards · DAL
    -110
    65%
  • DAL anytime TD
    Anytime TD · DAL
    -110
    64%
  • GB anytime TD
    Anytime TD · GB
    -110
    64%
  • M. Lloyd Over 1.5 rec
    Receptions · GB
    -110
    63%
  • D. Prescott anytime TD
    Anytime TD · DAL
    -110
    63%
  • C. Lamb anytime TD
    Anytime TD · DAL
    -110
    63%
  • J. Williams anytime TD
    Anytime TD · DAL
    -110
    63%
Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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