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668 pre-game DraftKings props · 15 games · waiting on NCAAF
Updated 5:01 AM CT · started games drop off
PlayerPropPriceProjHitEdgeAvgL5L10
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How these numbers work
- Price is DraftKings’ posted number. If DraftKings posts a line with no price, we show “—” and never assume −110.
- Proj is the player’s official form: 40% last-10 average plus 60% season average. If there’s no official log yet, Overline’s team-context prop model sets it.
- Hit is the chance the side cashes: 40% from that form and 60% from DraftKings’ own no-vig price, so one hot streak can’t fake a huge edge. Edge = Hit − DraftKings implied % (vig included). EV = expected profit per $1 at the posted price.
- Avg / L5 / L10 come from the official ESPN game log, graded against today’s line on this side. Pushes aren’t counted, and anything missing is left blank.
- Only games that haven’t started. Times are Central. These are model estimates, not guarantees, so please bet responsibly.
Computer’s prop pick per game Show
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