Switzerland at Slovenia
FT
0–0
At lock: projected SUI 1.28–1.00 SVN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 3:42 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 461259667
- Winner: Switzerland (43%)
- Spread: SVN +0.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Under 2.5 (60%)
- Score error (both teams)2
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SUI 1.28–1.00 SVN · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseSVN -0.0 off · SUI +0.8 off, shrunk 50%
- Home field+0.2 goals to SVN
- RecordSVN 2-2-1 · SUI 4-1-0
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUI | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SVN | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game leaders
- Fabian Riedertotalshots 3
- Nico ElvediPass 119
- Manuel Akanjidefensiveinterventions 9
- Gregor KobelSV 3
- Srdjan Kuzmictotalshots 3
- Adam Gnezda CerinPass 37
- Zan Zaleteldefensiveinterventions 15
- Jan OblakSV 3
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SUI | SVN | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 5 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks | 11 | 7 |
| Saves | 3 | 3 |
| Possession | 71.3 | 28.7 |
| SHOTS | 13 | 8 |
| ON GOAL | 3 | 2 |
| On Target % | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 720 | 227 |
| Passes | 806 | 320 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Accurate Crosses | 2 | 2 |
| Crosses | 21 | 11 |
| Cross % | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Long Balls | 41 | 46 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 14 | 15 |
| Long Balls % | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Blocked Shots | 3 | 4 |
| Effective Tackles | 5 | 9 |
| Tackles | 11 | 14 |
| Tackle % | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 17 |
| Effective Clearances | 18 | 24 |
| Clearances | 18 | 24 |
At lock SUI 1.28–1.00 SVN · SUI by 0.3 goals vs SVN +0.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitF. Rieder · SUI
MidfielderN. Elvedi · SUI
DefenderM. Akanji · SUI
DefenderG. Kobel · SUI
GoalkeeperS. Kuzmic · SVN
DefenderA. Cerin · SVN
Midfielder
Prop lean · Z. Amdouni anytime goal · 26% · informational
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Switzerland vs Slovenia pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SVN +0.5, with a 51% model probability — it won.
More: Nations picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day